South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aea58aa039fcb214eb462f95295cb7ee1e2c5cfc0443fcde2d3ac8b29bed752
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 2,497$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…d262backed No | 50c | 2,393$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…a5d3backed No | 50c | 2,291$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 50c | 711.28$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.37 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 50c | 692.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.22 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 642.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed Yes | 50c | 401$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 313.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 48c | 288.46$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 50c | 276.26$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 73c | 223.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 165.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 158.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 50c | 149$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 141.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 51c | 136.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 49c | 104.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 52c | 104.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 36c | 99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0338backed Yes | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 51c | 72.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 49c | 62.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 60.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 58.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 59c | 57.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 51c | 56.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 51c | 38.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 55c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Yes | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…f17fbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 52c | 27.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…b72abacked Yes | 53c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 55c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 50c | 21.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Fluminense FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Fluminense FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.