South American Leagues · resolved market
Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27caafc47092ad19608ce3ea03849d96f5db25e03b52e102b6adcefad677d063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 99,590$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 52c | 2,903$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 50c | 2,499$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 1c | 2,096$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 2,019$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.35 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 13c | 1,280$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.44 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 1,218$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 1,106$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.89 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 921.58$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 634.56$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 62c | 569.14$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 543.78$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 449.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 405.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Under | 78c | 271.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 237.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 212.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 47c | 205.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 188.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 177.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 53c | 133.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 55c | 123.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 45c | 109.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 48c | 80.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 46c | 74.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 46c | 73.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 63.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 58.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 52.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 59c | 51.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Under | 45c | 39.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 37c | 39.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 47c | 38.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 74c | 33.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae7…0795backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Under | 68c | 17.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Fluminense FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Fluminense FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 5.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 1.5Under won
- Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.