MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6825d9518cb15d2b3f2b1472634e454c7eede410f7b6a0cab4c63260a88b8c5e

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Seattle Mariners
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $630,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $698,894

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,593 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds	51c	100,028$51,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,564.11	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners	59c	85,232$50,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,434.31	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe54…41d6backed Seattle Mariners	61c	53,300$32,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,513	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners	59c	52,937$31,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,232.72	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2bd…7776backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	35,235$14,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,488.42	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners	42c	32,677$13,679 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,679.01	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	30,000$12,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,700	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	28,360$11,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,016.16	182	48.4%88 W · 94 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners	35c	19,158$6,741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,741.21	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c6…6b56backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	18,292$7,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,798.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	17,057$6,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,401.01	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	14,647$5,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,934.47	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners	65c	12,788$8,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,312.32	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	11,571$4,616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,954.47	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners	27c	11,568$3,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,108.21	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	10,495$4,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,401.79	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners	24c	10,130$2,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,391	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,100	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners	61c	7,500$4,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,575	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	7,110$2,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,187.96	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds	32c	6,045$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,094.69	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Seattle Mariners	61c	6,000$3,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,660	484	51%247 W · 237 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds	50c	5,644$2,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,848.98	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	5,000$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,050	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	4,880$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.2	694	53.6%372 W · 322 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Seattle Mariners	12c	4,782$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	4,258$1,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,534.82	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	4,009$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,443.82	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners	58c	3,700$2,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,146	444	51.1%227 W · 217 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	3,686$1,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,174.41	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	3,623$1,594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,029.01	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Seattle Mariners	72c	3,611$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.9	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7f…7b8abacked Seattle Mariners	56c	3,321$1,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.49	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners	20c	3,240$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.91	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f1b…f28abacked Seattle Mariners	49c	3,073$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.71	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Cincinnati Reds	43c	2,763$1,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,574.79	169	47.9%81 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	2,608$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,590.96	550	53.1%292 W · 258 L	+20.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners	59c	2,560$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.4	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	2,500$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Cincinnati Reds	40c	2,482$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.75	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds	29c	2,364$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680.39	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6bf…681dbacked Seattle Mariners	60c	2,360$1,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.68	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-18%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Seattle Mariners	60c	2,250$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners	37c	2,156$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.2	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Seattle Mariners	15c	2,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	168	14.3%24 W · 144 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	2,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220	171	50.3%86 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	2,000$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	1,974$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,164.54	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners	32c	1,413$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.46	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners	46c	1,405$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.66	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Seattle Mariners	41c	1,194$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.67	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds	58c	1,171$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Seattle Mariners	62c	1,129$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners	18c	1,112$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.55	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds	37c	1,050$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.06	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	1,026$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.64	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	999.99$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.99	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Cincinnati Reds	41c	999.98$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.99	243	46.9%114 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	968.88$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.33	157	51.6%81 W · 76 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners	45c	879$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.55	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Seattle Mariners	49c	793$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.1	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Seattle Mariners	28c	700$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.7	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d26…ca0ebacked Seattle Mariners	48c	700$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cincinnati Reds	25c	698.37$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.77	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Mariners	8c	660.64$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.67	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Seattle Mariners	42c	656.88$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.08	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+6.2wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Cincinnati Reds	55c	639.09$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.44	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners	66c	626$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.16	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	619.99$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.99	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Cincinnati Reds	36c	600$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Seattle Mariners	17c	599.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Seattle Mariners	58c	591$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.69	577	58.1%335 W · 242 L	+28.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Cincinnati Reds	75c	549.61$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.08	159	54.7%87 W · 72 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Seattle Mariners	44c	548.44$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.47	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b5…7e9abacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	512.82$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.82	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Seattle Mariners	59c	508.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Cincinnati Reds	42c	500$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cincinnati Reds	39c	500$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Seattle Mariners	78c	495.15$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.81	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds	61c	470$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.33	946	55.3%523 W · 423 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Seattle Mariners	61c	468$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.48	356	68.8%245 W · 111 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners	43c	454.29$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.61	549	45.4%249 W · 300 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	444$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.48	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+3.3wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	440.92$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.96	515	47%242 W · 273 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7020…fd20backed Seattle Mariners	58c	432.43$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	432.14$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.9	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1713…1986backed Seattle Mariners	59c	423.73$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Seattle Mariners	60c	366.8$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.08	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds	42c	357.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.14	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	341.34$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.39	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Cincinnati Reds	80c	340.04$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.01	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9745…efe5backed Seattle Mariners	18c	333.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e14…95d4backed Cincinnati Reds	40c	312.5$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+57.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Seattle Mariners	50c	302.7$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.11	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	300$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Seattle Mariners	57c	300$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	1,483	50.2%745 W · 738 L	+5.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	295.7$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.12	209	44%92 W · 117 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Cincinnati Reds	39c	288$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.48	952	52.9%504 W · 448 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Seattle Mariners	39c	275.11$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.48	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds	40c	272.61$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.57	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event