MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36341ce7d475795d3e403a30382aea4074614aade2627efeb71de965e8c49d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 189,358$93,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,418.81 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 52,564$27,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,732.1 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 20,324$10,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,059.64 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 50c | 18,966$9,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,483.16 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 51c | 12,538$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.85 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 50c | 7,703$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.26 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 6,407$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.4 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 6,231$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.76 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 5,478$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.46 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 4,829$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.61 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 53c | 3,770$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.9 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,238$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.28 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 3,088$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.36 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 50c | 3,050$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.91 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 47c | 3,048$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.52 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 51c | 2,635$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.35 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 58c | 2,376$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.83 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 2,338$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.86 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 2,274$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.78 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 69c | 1,767$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.01 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 1,632$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.56 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 57c | 1,589$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.22 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 50c | 1,187$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.52 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 51c | 975$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 910.85$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.48 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 771.72$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 714.43$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 50c | 714.28$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.14 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 50c | 612$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 50c | 610.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.17 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 52c | 584.47$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.55 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed Over | 18c | 580.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 571.94$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 459$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 50c | 381.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 51c | 348$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 51c | 317.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 22c | 289.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Under | 41c | 219$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Under | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 141 | 64.5%91 W · 50 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 32c | 199$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 192.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Over | 51c | 189.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 53c | 186.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Under | 51c | 167.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 50c | 150.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 42c | 130.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 50c | 122.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 50c | 115.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 29c | 97.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 51c | 97.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 80.29$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 30c | 78.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 77.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 73.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 29c | 73.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 28c | 56.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Under | 62c | 56.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 26c | 54.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 51c | 51.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…13a8backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.