MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe121ffa9fc47b8c012bb20bb68ace100fc8358032a423115c2b62d360a9efe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,112,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,181,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,112,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 493 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 269,999$145,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,870.14 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 113,809$58,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,258.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 57,156$22,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,824.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Tampa Bay Rays | 19c | 52,777$10,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,067.29 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 51,472$18,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,901.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 51,228$21,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,706.84 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 45,000$22,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,550 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…8850backed Tampa Bay Rays | 24c | 37,793$8,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,952.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 25,551$7,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,321.86 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 24,510$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,219.94 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,408.16 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 20,251$10,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,530.44 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 17,500$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,750 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 16,564$7,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,613.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 14,486$6,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,726.56 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 13,856$9,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,713.28 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 12,173$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,206.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 10,300$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 10,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 9,550$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.47 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 9,068$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.02 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 9,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 7,119$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.69 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 7,068$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.22 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 7,066$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.11 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 6,518$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 5,904$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 5,900$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 5,666$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.64 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 5,300$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 5,294$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 5,256$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…f729backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 4,942$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 4,856$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.44 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 4,792$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.28 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 4,205$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.91 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,062$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.15 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 3,922$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.32 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,729$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,638$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.29 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 3,478$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.76 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 3,421$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.57 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 3,289$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.61 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 3,029$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.43 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 2,937$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.44 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,850$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,821$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,762$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.79 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 2,761$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.11 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 2,523$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.83 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…f6d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,467$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,337$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.67 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 2,331$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.48 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…39dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 2,330$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,145$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.23 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,947$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.21 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,944$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.07 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 1,888$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,867$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.15 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,747$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.77 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,693$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,662$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,641$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.31 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 23c | 1,563$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.24 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…ed1cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,552$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,255$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,223$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.48 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 1,200$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.5 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,200$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 1,159$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.16 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,142$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.26 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,105$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,098$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…861abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 1,081$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.91 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 1,048$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,026$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.34 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 987$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 979.44$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.16 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 43c | 967$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 957$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.99 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 905.54$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.55 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.