TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under53c101,470$53,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,690.911,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c29,679$13,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,949.9211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under54c25,500$13,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7301,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c24,642$11,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,581.6673650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c20,911$9,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,817.074,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c16,117$7,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,366.4310,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over46c12,494$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,752.274,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c7,948$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,815.2728350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over47c6,317$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.1832451.9%168 W · 156 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c5,273$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.153,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c5,136$2,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.784,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over48c4,450$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.9975248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over38c4,073$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.343,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c3,317$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.041,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c2,648$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.375,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.549643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c1,262$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.766,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over50c1,177$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under72c1,150$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.254,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under50c1,137$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.933946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47013438.8%52 W · 82 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49016948.5%82 W · 87 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c819$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.931,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c725.03$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.438,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c716.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.28,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under51c716.19$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.9311049.1%54 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over47c638$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.248256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Under51c470.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.6114559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over50c459$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3934353.4%183 W · 160 L+18.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over47c395$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.672,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under73c390$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.387850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under51c388.75$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4913357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Over45c306.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7513048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over48c302$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9622448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11722848.2%110 W · 118 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under75c237.6$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.561,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over46c224.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.361,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c223.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Over47c212.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Under14c198.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.07728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over49c198$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.031,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under53c195$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.651,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over26c185.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.715,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over47c148.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0122450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.069450%47 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over49c139.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.252,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked Under51c137.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.234261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over46c134$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6445545.7%208 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over47c127.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over47c119.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1348851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under73c112.86$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.351,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over48c111.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3375453.2%401 W · 353 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c98.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,00344.6%447 W · 556 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over25c96.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0434139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under54c95.5$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1324149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9f…65ffbacked Under52c95.19$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.695046%23 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4318…9a94backed Under75c95.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.959443.6%41 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Over47c92.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.589649%47 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under73c91.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over47c84.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0128553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under52c83.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over48c83.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.219934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over47c75.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.371,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Under49c72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.728440.5%34 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over27c67.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.394,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Over34c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3414752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c50.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6541141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2347745.7%218 W · 259 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over23c48.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.128,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Under53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1714252.8%75 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c46.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.071,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c42.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.662,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…eeeabacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Under80c32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.413554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over47c31.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c31.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.712235.2%43 W · 79 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7319…c664backed Over48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.430928.5%88 W · 221 L-46.7wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea7…078bbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00b…f17fbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over47c28.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.291,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…f290backed Under63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Under64c23.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3113260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa94…b3f4backed Over46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.32,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.