MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd5a377139deceab650dad59d8952c10e33c79950a41bb42d4e0b55e444978b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 101,470$53,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,690.91 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 29,679$13,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,949.92 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 25,500$13,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 24,642$11,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,581.66 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 20,911$9,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,817.07 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 16,117$7,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,366.43 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 12,494$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,752.27 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 52c | 7,948$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,815.27 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 6,317$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.18 | 324 | 51.9%168 W · 156 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 5,273$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.15 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 5,136$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 48c | 4,450$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 4,073$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.34 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 3,317$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.04 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,648$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.37 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,262$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.76 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 50c | 1,177$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 72c | 1,150$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 50c | 1,137$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.93 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 819$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 725.03$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.43 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 716.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 51c | 716.19$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.93 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 638$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Under | 51c | 470.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 50c | 459$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 343 | 53.4%183 W · 160 L | +18.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 395$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 73c | 390$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Under | 51c | 388.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.49 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 45c | 306.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 48c | 302$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 75c | 237.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 46c | 224.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 223.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…cd57backed Under | 14c | 198.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 198$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 195$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 26c | 185.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 47c | 148.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 139.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Under | 51c | 137.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 47c | 127.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 47c | 119.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 73c | 112.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 48c | 111.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 98.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 25c | 96.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 54c | 95.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.13 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Under | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Under | 75c | 95.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 47c | 92.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 73c | 91.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 47c | 84.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 83.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 48c | 83.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 47c | 75.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Under | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 27c | 67.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 50.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 23c | 48.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 46.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 42.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…eeeabacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…f17fbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 47c | 28.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…f290backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 64c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa94…b3f4backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 2.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.