MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cc2b33bce402f745a4e020611ec2046594af8dd4aff72c6b77feddc62681b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 42c | 74,403$31,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,031.48 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 63,399$36,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,581.24 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Athletics | 46c | 57,832$26,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,737.81 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 38,605$21,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,994.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 38c | 29,002$10,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,987.37 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 28,681$17,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,214.07 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 14,637$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.21 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 16c | 13,159$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 37c | 7,160$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.16 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 43c | 4,996$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.27 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 4,820$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.12 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 42c | 4,530$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.36 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 42c | 4,515$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.54 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 42c | 4,325$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.49 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 4,301$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Athletics | 47c | 3,850$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.43 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 3,515$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 41c | 3,015$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Athletics | 47c | 2,887$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.07 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 2,829$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.35 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 2,809$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.99 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 2,552$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.35 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Athletics | 42c | 2,326$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.13 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,261$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.87 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Athletics | 26c | 2,204$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.67 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Athletics | 8c | 2,089$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,049$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.46 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.98 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,734$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.08 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.17 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 9c | 1,712$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Athletics | 42c | 1,500$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.49 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,450$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,379$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.54 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 42c | 1,355$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.75 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,300$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.79 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,282$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.05 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 45c | 1,224$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,205$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.82 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,201$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics | 42c | 1,166$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.16 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Athletics | 42c | 1,066$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.45 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 4c | 1,063$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,051$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.42 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Athletics | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 990.41$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.31 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 978.18$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Athletics | 23c | 914.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 903.4$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.72 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 39c | 844.67$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Athletics | 42c | 831.47$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.05 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Athletics | 34c | 813.67$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 744.44$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.43 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…99c4backed Athletics | 2c | 730.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 699.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.69 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 42c | 666.1$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.38 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Athletics | 42c | 653.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 26c | 620.86$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 609.83$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 592.34$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 560.92$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.11 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 524.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 513.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 471.92$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Athletics | 43c | 466.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 461.94$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 447.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 437.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 44c | 432$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 428.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 428.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Athletics | 44c | 404.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 399.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Athletics | 47c | 397.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 378$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 370.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Athletics | 42c | 362$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 356.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.56 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 355.39$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Athletics | 27c | 354.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 349.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 341.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Athletics | 45c | 336.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Athletics | 42c | 311.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 300.87$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 300.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 292.33$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 44c | 289.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 280.5$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 276.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Athletics | 42c | 271.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Athletics | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 254.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Athletics | 23c | 238.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 238$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.72 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 233$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsthis page
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Athletics won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.