TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,139,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,194,480

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,139,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf208…fa74backed Yes50c331,088$166,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,543.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No50c184,604$92,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,820.9719253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No49c79,000$38,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,289.9820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No50c74,838$37,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,793.0818950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No50c70,000$35,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,0003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c42,698$21,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,105.142,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No50c30,514$15,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2577750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,1007753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No51c27,043$13,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,251.283452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c26,007$14,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,492.092,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No51c21,000$10,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2908453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Yes51c19,810$10,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,103.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No49c18,888$9,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,632.8616848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No51c15,150$7,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,423.5415949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No53c14,902$7,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.1710057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Yes50c13,149$6,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,574.484161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c12,993$6,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.212,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c11,132$5,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,337.061,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No52c10,530$5,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.410455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No51c10,066$5,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.626240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd9…77f6backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.883036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes50c9,682$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.518146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c9,381$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.41,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c8,614$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9517634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes71c8,150$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,786.826145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c7,649$3,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07eb…95a8backed No50c7,070$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5351020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,29017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes50c5,400$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Yes0c5,393$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.915018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c4,805$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.861,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No52c4,199$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.796456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No52c4,119$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.3624146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c4,036$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.364216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No52c4,021$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.732040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No65c3,865$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.9656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.156354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No52c3,774$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.0821049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes49c3,523$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.0711149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Yes51c3,137$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6003545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes21c3,064$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63225225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes46c2,920$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.3820448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes47c2,913$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.5530143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4007028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No51c2,770$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.2252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No53c2,662$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.994052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.974862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No47c2,499$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.41,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes49c2,460$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.578537.6%32 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70da…4367backed Yes51c2,385$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9876261.3%38 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes38c2,060$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.86136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No51c2,034$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.6545936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes50c2,012$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0206833.8%23 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.994643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59e…29babacked Yes51c1,947$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9932846.4%13 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Yes43c1,880$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c1,776$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.4890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No70c1,641$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.347353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes39c1,556$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes46c1,327$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8716548.5%80 W · 85 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c1,324$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.461,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No53c1,263$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.4585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No49c1,204$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6102962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes44c1,200$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5265759.6%34 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes47c1,157$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.8520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes33c1,109$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2961143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes25c1,109$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.1423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51722534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Yes51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No53c1,097$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.5945751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes48c1,043$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d2…e592backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…9e54backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4704250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a62…fa34backed Yes12c964.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes31c955.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003450%17 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No53c947$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.0912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes57c933$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.