Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x863739adf8171df60b4ab7b49f9b11106a0aa0f422f4d153e3fc8b20443d07d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 17,387$10,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.62 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 13,041$6,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.04 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 7,762$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.35 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 6,081$3,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.02 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.98 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 5,376$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 52c | 5,225$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked No | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 5,116$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.73 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.01 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 3,892$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.9 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 45c | 3,683$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.44 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 52c | 3,526$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 49c | 3,300$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 3,204$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.09 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 2,345$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.47 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,245$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 53c | 2,167$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.47 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 35c | 2,123$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 51c | 2,098$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 1,982$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.69 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 50c | 1,556$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 48c | 1,398$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,133$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,056$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 48c | 1,043$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 49c | 1,030$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 860.2$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.25 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 67c | 837.19$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.89 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…3589backed Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 51c | 831.8$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.96 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 32c | 813.01$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes | 28c | 797.3$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed No | 51c | 790.39$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 27c | 779$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 648.64$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.13 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 603.46$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.88 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 42c | 563.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 50c | 540$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes | 39c | 537.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 38c | 530$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 33c | 522.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e9…f3bcbacked Yes | 49c | 519.14$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…3ec6backed Yes | 39c | 426.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 421$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.29 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…34e9backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 47c | 377$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…81e2backed No | 54c | 361.84$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…0db8backed No | 54c | 359.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…21c5backed Yes | 47c | 358.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f15…9f5abacked No | 54c | 357.66$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…fbb8backed No | 54c | 355.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd5…3ad0backed No | 54c | 353.91$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b93abacked No | 54c | 351.69$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…34bebacked No | 54c | 350.59$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…47edbacked Yes | 47c | 350.05$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 47c | 346$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…4e90backed Yes | 47c | 345.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…e05abacked Yes | 47c | 338.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…9fdfbacked Yes | 47c | 336.06$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…9756backed Yes | 47c | 335.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…da41backed Yes | 47c | 332.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked No | 61c | 329.21$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…cf90backed Yes | 48c | 318.33$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 49c | 316.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 40c | 300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…e470backed Yes | 49c | 280.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes | 23c | 274.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 53c | 272.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 49c | 259.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…12cbbacked No | 52c | 231.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.