Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11b0a3dd792039520ddb2cd703b7d4368db3f8c10390e69b9e7c30b21cbd1913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 45c | 19,312$8,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,673.13 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 60c | 14,573$8,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,743.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 73c | 13,737$10,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,028.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 11,170$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.07 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…491fbacked No | 74c | 6,760$5,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,002.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 4,809$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 4,388$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.48 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Yes | 58c | 2,988$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,266$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.6 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…016fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 40c | 859.51$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed Yes | 27c | 785.78$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +319.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 75c | 670$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 647.41$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.08 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…f4e2backed No | 75c | 640$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 619.95$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.92 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked No | 26c | 577.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 27c | 556.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…c2b7backed No | 75c | 520$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…6a9dbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 61c | 492.95$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…814cbacked No | 75c | 490$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 411.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 76c | 395.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 46c | 395.01$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 75c | 372$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 25c | 338.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 297.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 26c | 273.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Yes | 38c | 263.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 259.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…fcfcbacked No | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…eecdbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd927…cc7cbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb896…db2dbacked No | 75c | 199$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…33dcbacked No | 75c | 190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…f337backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…dc80backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…3e27backed No | 75c | 180$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b5…5152backed No | 75c | 175$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 36c | 167.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…d400backed No | 75c | 158$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…d263backed No | 75c | 152$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…adfabacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 111.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes | 63c | 110.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Yes | 27c | 109.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 75c | 104$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…8903backed No | 56c | 95.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 27c | 94.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 48c | 84.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 68c | 73.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 56.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed No | 40c | 55.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 25c | 53.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5c…b13fbacked Yes | 43c | 38.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Yes | 69c | 36.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 74c | 27.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…eb88backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…4f81backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.