TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No66c27,558$18,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,419.5875142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c21,395$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,816.423,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes50c10,635$5,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.2253645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd460…be1dbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c9,042$6,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.111,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No79c8,170$6,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.71764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c7,654$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.242,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No73c4,200$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.52290.9%20 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+29.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c2,000$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.5728241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed No53c1,691$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.552352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes27c1,615$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0510154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c1,437$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.131,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes42c1,300$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c1,268$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes23c1,200$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes23c1,174$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes27c1,000$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.56129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c960.27$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.840744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked No74c692.17$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.17757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked No74c608.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.111492.9%13 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick68cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes55c605.45$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3334639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012952.7%68 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No51c435.03$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6413139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.419951.5%51 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10431145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes28c358$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.24229.1%2 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Yes27c306.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes19c273.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No74c254.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.235244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Yes18c253.49$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked No47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed No74c241.35$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…0857backed No74c232.09$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+52.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569173.6%67 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked No54c185.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.283070%21 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No75c162.79$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399062.2%56 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1412271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c129.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9978248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb0…6c15backed Yes31c129.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a78…1e03backed No79c126.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.595100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No75c104$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266462.5%40 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+54.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254075%30 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251090%9 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick75cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118844.3%39 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd117…96edbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb7…17d7backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed No74c86.7$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5410100%10 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0837344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes49c80.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4914934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked No50c79.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes29c76.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.85145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c72.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.818517.6%15 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Yes21c69.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.584537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7535856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed No44c65.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.651233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9844…35dfbacked No75c63.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c62.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7321450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No53c60.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+64.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadad…5857backed No53c60.13$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972c…c2e2backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x514f…ee49backed No75c57.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.411283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed No74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c50.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.461,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.525855.4%143 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55664.3%36 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8deb…0139backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…fa0fbacked Yes30c45.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.441782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed No74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick69cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe692…f7f7backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes49c38.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed No52c31.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.611955.5%66 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed No53c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.225563.6%35 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482c…cbe8backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.411539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e4…10c9backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.