TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes14c30,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1403450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c10,019$7,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.222,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413e…f7acbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c9,603$7,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.721,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x273f…56febacked Yes22c5,543$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec6…f2b6backed Yes1c4,539$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f46…dbfebacked Yes23c4,396$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+51.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No78c4,250$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.0490751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88011346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c3,791$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.862,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Yes22c3,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7708453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes8c2,145$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701526.7%4 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No79c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No79c1,715$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.221485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+53.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes14c1,710$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.082623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8b…e194backed Yes1c1,642$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes22c1,560$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes21c1,457$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes7c1,427$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c1,335$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No76c1,235$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.897176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No79c1,100$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2313971.8%28 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No79c1,006$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.336167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No78c999.97$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.999358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Yes21c930.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c909.82$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.432,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes22c887$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes21c859.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.625648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c743$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4613939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1547853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8675…e850backed Yes21c672.51$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.363630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes20c654.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1347833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed Yes8c649.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd675…e9d4backed Yes23c616.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.84922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes5c599$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.952619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes19c506.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5910341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a58…c236backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e25…57c7backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e9…f3bcbacked Yes22c452.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes21c400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8439948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8819732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No79c390.43$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes22c386.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes3c380$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.557522.7%17 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes11c376.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked No79c355.51$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.661872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5256…5f21backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6330%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No79c299.96$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9932453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No78c296.03$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.132466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No79c286.07$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.071145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes8c277.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes22c265.18$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.343839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1613565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63db…56fcbacked Yes8c250.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes22c230$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.611223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbeba…f7d9backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes17c205$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3445224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes13c191.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.254630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes18c181$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8338233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…75a8backed Yes8c180.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes6c171.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.275646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes9c151$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.591,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8423…b9c1backed Yes7c150$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes15c145$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.632222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…6d48backed Yes21c140.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No80c138.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.686544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d2…0d90backed Yes22c135$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…2f66backed Yes12c130.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x314b…3be0backed Yes22c130$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.62347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No78c126.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8914128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4058…4c04backed Yes8c125.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105920.3%12 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…eeeabacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes21c116.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.