TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c38,528$16,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,818.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under27c28,131$7,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,512.5344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over72c27,588$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,999.9914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under16c22,574$3,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,947.232,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under9c20,100$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,268.022441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under32c15,696$4,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,702.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under3c13,772$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,317.2833538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under34c12,308$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,183.7825942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under68c11,667$7,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.1339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under46c10,485$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.3536235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over55c10,000$5,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5057538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over73c10,000$7,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,258.9920234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over49c8,757$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,305.4431644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over1c8,184$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under31c7,729$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,364.2420839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c7,112$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,996.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under29c6,774$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,794.572,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under3c5,500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,319.998835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over30c4,867$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.4859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under4c4,792$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,589.5225244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under18c4,443$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.4326447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Over77c4,347$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,347.196155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over4c4,209$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under6c4,057$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.2734330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over45c4,000$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.1213454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under75c3,968$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.8864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Under3c3,881$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,749.177647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over3c3,517$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.722,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c3,498$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.313,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under77c3,452$2,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.7143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0c…7ca5backed Under4c3,324$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.031560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+148.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c3,152$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under4c3,000$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,87428526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under23c3,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3104238.1%16 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Over49c2,940$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.595846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under21c2,828$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.519233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over46c2,703$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.0838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under14c2,611$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.0628025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under68c2,449$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.6937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under77c2,313$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.5633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over1c2,188$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.327368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x55f4…4021backed Over5c2,165$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1717854.5%97 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over68c2,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.9817040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62d2…1b70backed Under9c1,970$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.68243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over73c1,770$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8224…7384backed Over55c1,727$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Over44c1,696$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.3717447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under30c1,688$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.3177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x384f…58adbacked Under61c1,650$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.175350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over59c1,600$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.88951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over19c1,548$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under13c1,370$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.1539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over78c1,360$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.341,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over14c1,337$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8823427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over5c1,266$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.442,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over10c1,240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda8b…8663backed Over1c1,225$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over5c1,200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5939932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under4c1,186$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.8730220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Under17c1,177$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.538639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff9…ca43backed Under4c1,176$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.212123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under73c1,174$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over39c1,169$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0512343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over47c1,167$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.152,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over48c1,142$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.012,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under56c1,100$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2519649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under4c1,045$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.1918848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Over50c1,032$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.795728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under27c1,016$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.3222147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209118.7%17 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Under16c999.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.768119.8%16 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under4c965.61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.191,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under4c940.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8315336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under54c897.09$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.667640.8%31 W · 45 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over59c885.38$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.0237242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under54c873.05$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.8358049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under57c866.46$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f0…fe05backed Under21c834.02$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.258441.7%35 W · 49 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf180…a062backed Under12c833.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.335263.5%33 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over59c826.68$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.229145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under37c822$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.4116357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Under12c813.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.0112139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under14c800$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.9723440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over68c799.99$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Over61c783.85$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.115354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over64c778.73$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.0512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…e1d9backed Under29c746.65$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.653151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under14c729.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9318548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec12…fd9dbacked Under19c681.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.7415519.4%30 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over46c646.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under4c610.56$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.5617735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Under31c600$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under48c599.29$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over17c598.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1713542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under39c598.16$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.264,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over30c587.43$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa179…258ebacked Over18c585.16$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4580%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under4c575.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.111756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under23c573.54$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.114131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.