Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ecb8252ed2ca097b2eecae5e718abf3ec180df9cdb8885ee358327d342c029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Curaçaoof Ecuador, Curaçao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Ecuador | 2c | 120,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.01 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Ecuador | 5c | 12,868$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.47 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Ecuador | 4c | 12,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Ecuador | 14c | 7,777$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Ecuador | 7c | 7,142$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ecuador | 9c | 5,799$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Ecuador | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Ecuador | 2c | 4,810$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Ecuador | 8c | 4,084$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Ecuador | 2c | 3,729$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Ecuador | 13c | 2,302$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Ecuador | 2c | 2,033$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Ecuador | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Ecuador | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Ecuador | 12c | 1,382$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.74 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Ecuador | 11c | 1,042$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Ecuador | 11c | 1,039$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…09f1backed Ecuador | 9c | 999.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…1e5abacked Ecuador | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…a4abbacked Ecuador | 10c | 900.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Ecuador | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Ecuador | 14c | 717.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…03d3backed Ecuador | 12c | 680$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Ecuador | 3c | 666.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ecuador | 11c | 607.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Ecuador | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Ecuador | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 152 | 25.7%39 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Ecuador | 12c | 422.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Ecuador | 3c | 420$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Ecuador | 8c | 415.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Ecuador | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ecuador | 10c | 382.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Ecuador | 10c | 370.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Ecuador | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Ecuador | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10d…cf5abacked Ecuador | 11c | 254.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Ecuador | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Ecuador | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Ecuador | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Ecuador | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1441…b235backed Ecuador | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Ecuador | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ecuador | 23c | 149.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Ecuador | 11c | 137.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Ecuador | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Ecuador | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked Ecuador | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…4b04backed Ecuador | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Ecuador | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…8f38backed Ecuador | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…4fe6backed Ecuador | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Ecuador | 12c | 96.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Curaçao | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Curaçao | 74c | 32.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Curaçao | 74c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Curaçao | 74c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)this page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.