TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3535…a775backed Over22c53,975$11,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,866.522326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c35,308$28,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,303.314,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c26,753$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under77c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over19c6,879$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.331,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over23c6,666$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.1832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under79c5,436$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.112,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under78c5,403$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.941,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0508617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over10c4,556$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2638333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c3,857$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.472,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over21c3,313$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under78c2,716$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.0371638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over15c2,576$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4228025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under78c2,386$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.011,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under78c2,385$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.071,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over22c2,318$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under78c2,298$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.431,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over21c2,071$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43530142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0364443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38529.6%5 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over21c1,944$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6821640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under79c1,837$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…b3c3backed Over22c1,663$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.433743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over8c1,607$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.081,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25535424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Over21c1,446$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over21c1,239$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.6358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over22c1,229$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.161,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over23c1,200$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Over21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013453%71 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over19c925$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.1258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over22c795.45$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over23c773.57$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.924940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over21c727.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…112dbacked Over21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c699.64$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9615920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Over24c606.58$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5845932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under79c559.14$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.771,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208032.5%26 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011251.8%58 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over22c406.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.478317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over13c398.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.722,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over9c360$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Over17c347.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594626.1%12 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c342.79$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under77c319.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.121,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3239932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6924542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over23c299.82$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8334330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over21c287.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Over24c270.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655527.3%15 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under78c258.61$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under78c257.69$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6935150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over25c256$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420154.7%110 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…a53cbacked Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.169747.4%46 W · 51 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over22c245.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea06…47c9backed Over21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504139%16 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ac…ef04backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508541.2%35 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7477…e718backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508431%26 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4830…f86bbacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506113.1%8 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c5…24d1backed Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449020%18 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182a…f847backed Over21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b64…dab3backed Over20c186.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.341637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over21c185.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8911439.5%45 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over22c178.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over22c159.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under79c152$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9250950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.525639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over23c147.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb064…12a0backed Over24c143.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.419131.9%29 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over21c140.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.561,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under78c140.2$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7447546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under78c136.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.733443.4%145 W · 189 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Over22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7393…751abacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102003%6 W · 194 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-59.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e3…411bbacked Over22c122.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278423.8%20 W · 64 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+16.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over24c120.83$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299534.7%33 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1212…2571backed Over22c120.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.442814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over23c119.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4631550.8%160 W · 155 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Under77c117$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9131842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768d…d230backed Under78c111.09$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4412433.9%42 W · 82 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x805b…ee0cbacked Over14c108.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9823844.1%105 W · 133 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2382348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.