TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$423,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$417,409

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $423,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c175,209$86,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,645.6977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over51c97,780$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c47,680$26,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,773.244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over50c21,204$10,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,497.173,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Over50c15,163$7,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,550.2812349.6%61 W · 62 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c14,291$5,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c10,957$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,600.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over52c10,621$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9538026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9316957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c9,895$4,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,638.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c8,614$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3642,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c5,320$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.342,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over35c5,038$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.672,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Over49c4,491$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.422343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Under47c4,189$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.135749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over52c3,999$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.5722229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c3,764$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.114,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c2,855$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over45c2,500$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over50c2,459$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.741,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over50c2,372$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.211,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under50c2,326$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.3146550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Over50c2,130$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Over53c1,976$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.471040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over53c1,845$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.715141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over50c1,572$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8114323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over47c1,562$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.562,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c1,560$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.733,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c1,512$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.242,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over50c1,366$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.149237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Over38c1,306$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.288847.7%42 W · 46 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Over50c1,076$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53813237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under48c1,063$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.6592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over50c991.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Over52c961.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over48c901$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Over53c899.99$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9923736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c810.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.323,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under49c771.79$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.2358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over50c766.93$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.847127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…2b4bbacked Over51c748.63$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over24c687.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.421,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over20c647$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.446546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Over51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over55c545.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under49c525$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.1329449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Over43c520$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over55c519.95$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.571,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over49c500.1$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.051,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a2…58fdbacked Over51c474.78$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.141450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb147…beedbacked Over50c400.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026343%113 W · 150 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under47c396.64$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.193,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a8…5247backed Over50c381.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c363.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.482,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6cf…4228backed Over51c352.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016448.2%79 W · 85 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c333.04$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under48c314.91$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7547049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c0…be17backed Over51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f9…9f14backed Over52c312.88$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.74032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over51c294.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc21…c04fbacked Over52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f7…fef9backed Under49c285.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e3…31f7backed Over52c285.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34df…3eecbacked Over52c265.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1028…d62cbacked Under49c265.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.311850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb9…6f30backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb95…9b8dbacked Over53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…445ebacked Under50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…9437backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…5a11backed Over52c245$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2cb…28eebacked Under49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…31e5backed Under49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.92343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9170…499abacked Under49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.92147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…6fdabacked Under49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a08…d87bbacked Over52c244.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb8…bbc7backed Over52c244.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x06b5…ac8bbacked Over52c244.23$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa76c…a1babacked Over51c240.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfa…85fabacked Over51c240$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee9…d719backed Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…0d7ebacked Under50c240$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over39c214.92$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7547744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c214.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over52c207.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.994650%23 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4aa6…39dbbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006546.2%30 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c3…e4c9backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012365.9%81 W · 42 L+13.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under49c199.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.