Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a52d1eab4b0fb08f387a2ff33ab4f33cc5e6972c2c7f7a1d39c1399de76bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 22c | 4,961$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 2,371$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Over | 36c | 1,952$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 65c | 1,894$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.5 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…00fabacked Under | 64c | 1,328$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 69c | 1,067$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.77 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 62c | 903.65$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.39 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 62c | 822.49$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.91 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 36c | 764.61$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.26 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 38c | 665.95$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 66c | 557.6$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 64c | 538.28$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 39c | 520.85$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Over | 39c | 504.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 339.24$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 275.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 37c | 266.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…663fbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 64c | 204$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 38c | 187.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 177.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Over | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 34c | 141.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Over | 38c | 129.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 65c | 108.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Over | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 83.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 37c | 80.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…80b2backed Over | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 147 | 39.5%58 W · 89 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…01abbacked Over | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Over | 38c | 58.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 61c | 55.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230e…45b4backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 64c | 53.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…f303backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 64c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…2a5abacked Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbe…7ba1backed Over | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 180 | 36.1%65 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.