TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$597,772
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$584,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,772 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c94,394$41,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,090.684,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over30c52,784$16,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,071.331,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under66c51,465$34,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,261.132,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under41c14,180$5,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,366.1225844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over52c13,332$6,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,966.3119038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over39c12,820$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over30c12,600$3,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,791.986132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked Over70c10,999$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over58c10,712$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,212.7653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over29c10,637$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.0877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over37c9,721$3,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.5731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under17c9,103$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,583.8533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over42c8,656$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,602.8424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under46c7,246$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,912.658931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c7,084$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c6,420$4,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,465.468,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under16c6,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under78c5,892$4,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.2498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e69…858dbacked Under57c5,862$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.763246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over44c5,667$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.8138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under50c5,490$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over9c5,064$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under42c4,356$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.4842541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over80c4,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2001963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under46c3,650$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.4543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over73c3,215$2,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356.9258530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over52c2,948$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.553554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under61c2,818$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.811,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over30c2,376$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.261,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Under56c2,357$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.1414231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under17c2,301$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.7358029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4841…1767backed Over23c2,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008421.4%18 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under77c2,074$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.3565948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over64c2,004$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.729558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over59c2,002$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.2927655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over78c2,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Under53c1,915$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.89243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Over80c1,900$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5206258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under44c1,857$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.0912241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over58c1,796$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.052,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under62c1,717$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over41c1,695$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.9225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under60c1,670$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.0212647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over38c1,626$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.492,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over36c1,620$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5761,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661c…695bbacked Under62c1,597$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.8311665.5%76 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under25c1,569$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.2334122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under78c1,513$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.731,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over51c1,434$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.493,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under28c1,403$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.0558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Under17c1,394$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.1210331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over52c1,380$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.812241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under68c1,357$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.542,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under41c1,330$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.74351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c1,238$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.963,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0916…32efbacked Over59c1,235$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.861752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb2…abdfbacked Over57c1,228$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009348.4%45 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under17c1,200$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.2292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under18c1,189$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.8928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under22c1,188$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.531,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Over79c1,178$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.4432422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over43c1,153$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50119436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under67c1,113$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over58c1,112$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.1637451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.115228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over12c1,109$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13550146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over39c1,032$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over41c1,008$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.2827032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9920234.2%69 W · 133 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe555…a91dbacked Over29c999.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Under16c999.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.977647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x99f0…7464backed Over57c984$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.88449.1%4 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick21cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5960…6d42backed Under48c982.67$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3118548.1%89 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under19c963.04$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.9469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under29c962$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.0228526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under41c949.98$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.4921333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26119850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under57c881.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Under41c854.98$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.448247.6%39 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under16c801.19$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6731,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under80c780$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.083464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under60c777$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.3846445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf295…b287backed Under51c776.08$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.281668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x831c…ce7dbacked Under18c774.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3311044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over39c769.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under16c725.96$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over50c694$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34710050%50 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over50c690.55$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Over59c690.47$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.3816542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under17c686.24$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.581,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under17c685.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.931,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under53c683.91$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5619649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd994…ea91backed Over47c675.04$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Under18c633.33$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.3311934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.