Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd357cb2691343c3f556ab3df7f9a655048852b6b4018bfbc2e09425e58cda387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 1c | 14,362$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Over | 18c | 10,991$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.5 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 17c | 5,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 19c | 3,671$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.42 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 2,380$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 14c | 2,100$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 16c | 1,700$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…1ceebacked Over | 19c | 1,405$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 18c | 1,079$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 19c | 1,018$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Over | 5c | 999.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…7da4backed Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over | 19c | 295.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 19c | 259.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 18c | 202.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…9f09backed Over | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 180 | 2.8%5 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 16c | 122.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…7d58backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1ab1backed Over | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…cc09backed Over | 19c | 85.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Curaçao won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Curaçao won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.