Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf432a42064812de66a1517bbeef3ebec0db85d6e0001aaaebfbfcdfddf5db198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trace Esportsof Trace Esports, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Trace Esports | 53c | 15,856$8,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,412.46 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nova Esports | 65c | 5,200$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.84 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports | 35c | 3,481$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports | 38c | 2,936$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.43 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 28c | 2,465$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Nova Esports | 76c | 2,372$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.71 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Trace Esports | 41c | 2,361$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.59 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Trace Esports | 42c | 2,236$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.5 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Trace Esports | 39c | 1,819$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.74 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 67c | 1,558$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.36 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nova Esports | 48c | 1,118$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.07 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Nova Esports | 72c | 1,000$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 53c | 854.07$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.15 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Trace Esports | 35c | 706$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.9 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…4179backed Trace Esports | 79c | 690.31$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Trace Esports | 34c | 688.78$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.6 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Trace Esports | 31c | 660.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.08 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Nova Esports | 57c | 604.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Trace Esports | 32c | 599.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked Nova Esports | 67c | 549.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nova Esports | 16c | 544.85$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nova Esports | 32c | 542$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.74 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 51c | 528.59$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.53 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nova Esports | 13c | 506$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Nova Esports | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 55c | 486.95$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.8 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Trace Esports | 35c | 446.6$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Trace Esports | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Trace Esports | 35c | 378$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Nova Esports | 68c | 370$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…e50dbacked Nova Esports | 55c | 324.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nova Esports | 6c | 316$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports | 53c | 303$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 29c | 284.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed Nova Esports | 45c | 277.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Nova Esports | 69c | 273.7$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…54e2backed Nova Esports | 66c | 260$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Trace Esports | 34c | 255.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.31 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…e1e1backed Nova Esports | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Nova Esports | 10c | 237.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed Nova Esports | 23c | 236.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Nova Esports | 66c | 230.39$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Nova Esports | 45c | 220.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed Nova Esports | 66c | 211.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed Trace Esports | 35c | 209.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nova Esports | 64c | 208$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nova Esports | 61c | 204$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nova Esports | 53c | 185.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nova Esports | 50c | 185.78$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 185.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports | 34c | 177.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…fdaabacked Nova Esports | 72c | 175.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Nova Esports | 65c | 171.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nova Esports | 24c | 160.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Nova Esports | 64c | 155.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…dcc3backed Nova Esports | 19c | 128.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports | 45c | 122.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked Nova Esports | 67c | 121$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…699ebacked Nova Esports | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Nova Esports | 25c | 116.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Trace Esports | 33c | 114.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Nova Esports | 35c | 113.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Trace Esports | 45c | 111.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 108.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked Trace Esports | 35c | 108.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Nova Esports | 62c | 100.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Nova Esports | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Trace Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Nova Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Nova Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Trace Esports | 52c | 99.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 34c | 99.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nova Esports | 49c | 98.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports | 57c | 96.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed Trace Esports | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Trace Esports | 46c | 78.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nova Esports | 55c | 76.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Nova Esports | 68c | 64.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…11b8backed Trace Esports | 46c | 60.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Trace Esports | 35c | 57.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3c…5b7bbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nova Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nova Esports | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nova Esports | 62c | 46.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Trace Esports | 43c | 46.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…ffd1backed Nova Esports | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Trace Esports | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Nova Esports | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Nova Esports | 69c | 42.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Nova Esports | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…e673backed Nova Esports | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Trace Esports | 38c | 39.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked Nova Esports | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Nova Esports | 66c | 34.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked Nova Esports | 49c | 33.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Trace Esports | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f25…f17fbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 30.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Nova Esports | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Nova Esports | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)Trace Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaNova Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.