Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28bc7dbf5294708a8cf5a16d2232b5fff71279d11b588b3726b17d6d914773b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Trace Esports, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Nova Esports | 71c | 27,848$19,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Nova Esports | 61c | 16,400$10,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.98 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Nova Esports | 67c | 10,251$6,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.25 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports | 45c | 10,073$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.75 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Trace Esports | 27c | 7,044$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked Trace Esports | 40c | 5,924$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.26 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Nova Esports | 71c | 4,936$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.02 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Trace Esports | 32c | 4,373$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.05 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 35c | 4,331$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.99 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Trace Esports | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 64c | 3,358$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.16 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Trace Esports | 27c | 3,335$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.36 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nova Esports | 61c | 3,203$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.61 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Trace Esports | 34c | 3,179$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.96 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Nova Esports | 66c | 2,941$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.85 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…6ea0backed Trace Esports | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…364fbacked Trace Esports | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Trace Esports | 59c | 2,680$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.31 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Trace Esports | 33c | 2,651$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports | 62c | 2,614$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.46 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 2,417$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.68 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nova Esports | 63c | 2,269$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.4 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…4550backed Trace Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Nova Esports | 59c | 1,897$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Trace Esports | 30c | 1,849$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.4 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports | 60c | 1,842$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.28 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trace Esports | 35c | 1,776$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.43 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…a814backed Nova Esports | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.68 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Nova Esports | 62c | 1,489$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 1,455$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.16 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Trace Esports | 40c | 1,388$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.95 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0bb1backed Trace Esports | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Trace Esports | 32c | 1,329$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports | 34c | 1,326$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.65 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…7ddcbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 1,269$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nova Esports | 65c | 1,243$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.2 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Trace Esports | 34c | 1,239$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.55 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Trace Esports | 34c | 1,164$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Trace Esports | 28c | 1,147$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.11 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 1,082$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.27 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Nova Esports | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.29 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Trace Esports | 32c | 1,023$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Trace Esports | 32c | 999$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…0779backed Trace Esports | 29c | 936$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Trace Esports | 33c | 929.48$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Trace Esports | 34c | 898.3$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…e1e1backed Nova Esports | 63c | 875.84$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…866dbacked Nova Esports | 66c | 841$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Trace Esports | 32c | 827.02$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.81 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Trace Esports | 32c | 819.43$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.84 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Trace Esports | 33c | 800.82$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.27 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…5c9dbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 797.67$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 796.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Trace Esports | 32c | 751$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.32 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 740.31$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.74 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Nova Esports | 65c | 722.96$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.56 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Trace Esports | 36c | 718.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.84 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Nova Esports | 63c | 699.84$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.75 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Trace Esports | 44c | 643$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Trace Esports | 23c | 640.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.62 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Nova Esports | 64c | 629.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Trace Esports | 33c | 622.39$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Trace Esports | 51c | 606.96$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 26c | 574.9$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Nova Esports | 54c | 558.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trace Esports | 32c | 558$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nova Esports | 72c | 552.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 42c | 550.97$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Trace Esports | 35c | 549.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nova Esports | 64c | 541.28$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Trace Esports | 32c | 531.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Trace Esports | 33c | 520.51$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…5124backed Trace Esports | 11c | 511.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Nova Esports | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed Nova Esports | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed Trace Esports | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfe…4a26backed Trace Esports | 30c | 484.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Nova Esports | 62c | 481.72$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked Trace Esports | 38c | 448.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Trace Esports | 33c | 441.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9d…e50dbacked Trace Esports | 51c | 437.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed Trace Esports | 33c | 433.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Nova Esports | 60c | 417.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nova Esports | 72c | 404.8$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Trace Esports | 39c | 387$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 158 | 33.5%53 W · 105 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Trace Esports | 55c | 387$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 371.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Trace Esports | 35c | 363.3$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.15 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Trace Esports | 30c | 355.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nova Esports | 62c | 354$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed Nova Esports | 78c | 353.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports | 51c | 351.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Nova Esports | 54c | 349.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nova Esports | 65c | 347.47$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Nova Esports | 76c | 346.91$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Nova Esports | 64c | 343.8$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…3d50backed Nova Esports | 71c | 343$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Trace Esports | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Trace Esports | 33c | 320$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Nova Esports | 61c | 317.2$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nova Esports (-2.5) vs Trace Esports (+2.5)Trace Esports won
- Map Handicap: NOVA (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerTrace Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.