TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Trace Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof Trace Esports, Nova Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports45c3,566$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.0639646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Nova Esports69c1,722$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.1555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5612…5c9dbacked Trace Esports23c1,556$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Nova Esports58c1,229$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.0319648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Trace Esports13c1,174$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9312652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Nova Esports52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nova Esports77c823.35$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.652050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports61c725.22$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Trace Esports29c711.53$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2940944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports66c580.67$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.441,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nova Esports58c523.68$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports30c502.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.051,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Trace Esports41c499.95$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.986747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Trace Esports39c494.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3933942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Nova Esports58c478.46$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9553442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Trace Esports8c367$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.653046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Trace Esports17c361.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.796232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Nova Esports69c356.33$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.422455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3100…4179backed Nova Esports72c329.12$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.121258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nova Esports50c289.12$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8944342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports28c282.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports78c280$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.521,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Nova Esports60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce3f…e1e1backed Nova Esports74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Nova Esports59c240$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412143%52 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x356f…1e09backed Nova Esports80c238.67$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Nova Esports49c210$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.149845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Nova Esports58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Nova Esports74c171.76$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2965347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127d…4706backed Nova Esports73c163.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.518100%8 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf2…dfa9backed Nova Esports61c154.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.426456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087b…5f0ebacked Nova Esports65c153.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Trace Esports29c150.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6633838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Nova Esports61c149.29$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Trace Esports12c145.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Nova Esports69c143.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.483863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5537…fdaabacked Nova Esports74c127.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Nova Esports59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.124146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed Trace Esports33c123$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…07aebacked Trace Esports32c118.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Trace Esports43c116.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed Trace Esports52c112$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3611457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Nova Esports59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6913043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Nova Esports60c100.17$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.173345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Nova Esports48c97.02$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.323951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Trace Esports40c90.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0520160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Trace Esports18c90$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3614737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Nova Esports60c87.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3124551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Trace Esports26c81.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2377744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Trace Esports39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2555637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nova Esports72c72.11$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.311149.5%55 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Nova Esports71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.428852.3%46 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Nova Esports61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59d8…ad87backed Nova Esports58c68.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.384250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Trace Esports26c63.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Nova Esports60c57.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9563447.9%304 W · 330 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Nova Esports60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6712149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed Nova Esports59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Nova Esports59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Trace Esports20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x366e…cb0cbacked Nova Esports50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257661.8%47 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5e…f9c4backed Trace Esports39c47.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Nova Esports65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1514443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed8…2c70backed Trace Esports48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213261.4%81 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Nova Esports65c42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7438548.6%187 W · 198 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Trace Esports27c41.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21833.3%6 W · 177 L-73.1wins-0.40per pick43cpaid-93.1%equal weight11-0.35 edge/pick
0x0aa8…9fb3backed Nova Esports59c38.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4011…4a39backed Trace Esports45c35.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.4wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Nova Esports60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.335466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Nova Esports53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.38968.5%61 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed Trace Esports39c27.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6627956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f25…f17fbacked Nova Esports75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0789…f7adbacked Nova Esports59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eac…de53backed Nova Esports59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b24…103bbacked Nova Esports59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d4…2613backed Nova Esports59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ba…4390backed Nova Esports61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4068…673ebacked Nova Esports61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c2b…af40backed Nova Esports62c23.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.974858.3%28 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Nova Esports78c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.081770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.