Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd777a8ff8a5e678ec6bab2df3f31eefb6c3e02949d2aeab108639726e72cccf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $545,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $604,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $545,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 64,628$38,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,434.74 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 16,062$7,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.01 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MODUS | 43c | 13,514$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,834.56 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MODUS | 32c | 13,243$4,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,242.07 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MODUS | 47c | 12,001$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MODUS | 47c | 12,000$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,653.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MODUS | 48c | 11,232$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.64 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MODUS | 51c | 9,855$4,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,988.93 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MODUS | 35c | 8,224$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 8,000$5,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.55 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 8,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…190dbacked MODUS | 52c | 7,643$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 42c | 7,286$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.66 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 6,477$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.89 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed MODUS | 45c | 6,000$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 5,169$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.36 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 5,097$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.59 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MODUS | 28c | 5,002$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.55 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed MODUS | 41c | 4,634$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed MODUS | 31c | 4,588$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.28 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MODUS | 32c | 3,994$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.06 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked MODUS | 39c | 3,575$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.84 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 3,489$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.31 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 3,460$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.86 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yellow Submarine | 60c | 3,100$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.96 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed MODUS | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 2,724$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 2,682$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.36 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 2,634$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.02 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 2,597$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.54 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MODUS | 40c | 2,582$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.38 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MODUS | 40c | 2,544$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.89 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MODUS | 43c | 2,366$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.15 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 2,303$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.44 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 2,238$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.79 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 2,219$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.7 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 2,219$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.48 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 39c | 2,125$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 2,095$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.13 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 2,052$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.9 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 1,830$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.73 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked MODUS | 50c | 1,715$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.72 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,714$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.03 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed MODUS | 43c | 1,691$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MODUS | 45c | 1,677$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.67 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 1,603$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.88 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 1,571$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.42 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed MODUS | 18c | 1,558$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MODUS | 36c | 1,508$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.76 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed MODUS | 45c | 1,482$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.22 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed MODUS | 30c | 1,474$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.95 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MODUS | 29c | 1,467$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.02 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 1,350$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.21 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed MODUS | 33c | 1,296$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.69 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 1,269$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.79 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked MODUS | 35c | 1,257$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.26 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed MODUS | 41c | 1,185$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.14 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MODUS | 32c | 1,160$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 1,152$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.76 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MODUS | 22c | 1,111$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MODUS | 40c | 1,106$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.38 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked MODUS | 54c | 1,102$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.03 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 38c | 1,101$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MODUS | 39c | 1,033$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.57 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MODUS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MODUS | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 999.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.49 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 986.05$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.62 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed MODUS | 23c | 975.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MODUS | 52c | 924.54$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.05 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MODUS | 53c | 910$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked MODUS | 30c | 903.94$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.76 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed MODUS | 30c | 888.06$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed MODUS | 30c | 879.35$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.29 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Yellow Submarine | 56c | 875$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed MODUS | 46c | 870.55$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.74 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 52c | 820.59$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.92 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 813.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.56 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MODUS | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 795.92$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MODUS | 48c | 782.09$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.61 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed MODUS | 34c | 767$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 732.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MODUS | 29c | 719.38$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MODUS | 55c | 709.58$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.57 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 702.48$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.84 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 32c | 702.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed MODUS | 36c | 692.89$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Yellow Submarine | 57c | 689.25$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 688.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed MODUS | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked MODUS | 34c | 631.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.