Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456764d4570e754d8d612bf5357df50fcc76be783fd0728651380a818a62ae97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 17,188$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.28 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MODUS | 30c | 7,951$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.48 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 5,041$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.14 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked MODUS | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.98 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MODUS | 28c | 4,344$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yellow Submarine | 65c | 4,200$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 3,880$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.6 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MODUS | 31c | 3,250$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed MODUS | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MODUS | 24c | 2,785$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.84 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 2,686$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.17 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 2,292$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.84 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MODUS | 33c | 2,265$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.15 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 2,239$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.28 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 34c | 2,032$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.75 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS | 19c | 2,015$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.26 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 1,679$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.42 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked MODUS | 30c | 1,668$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 1,564$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.84 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed MODUS | 4c | 1,521$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…87bdbacked MODUS | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…aa3ebacked MODUS | 32c | 1,471$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 30c | 1,431$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.3 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed MODUS | 17c | 1,323$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed MODUS | 4c | 1,322$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MODUS | 12c | 1,289$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed MODUS | 19c | 1,274$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 1,045$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.07 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed MODUS | 24c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MODUS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MODUS | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MODUS | 28c | 970.96$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.26 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MODUS | 3c | 950$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked MODUS | 11c | 942.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed MODUS | 29c | 892.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MODUS | 29c | 889.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.09 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked MODUS | 36c | 841.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed MODUS | 27c | 820$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7217…54f6backed MODUS | 9c | 805.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 776.89$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MODUS | 27c | 729.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed MODUS | 27c | 613.33$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MODUS | 32c | 540.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked MODUS | 27c | 540$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked MODUS | 25c | 508.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MODUS | 36c | 505.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.63 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yellow Submarine | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.81 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed MODUS | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 499.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed MODUS | 32c | 485.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed MODUS | 34c | 485.29$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 479.98$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed MODUS | 9c | 476.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 465$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed MODUS | 34c | 445.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed MODUS | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MODUS | 17c | 408.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked MODUS | 33c | 405.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked MODUS | 34c | 399.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MODUS | 25c | 335.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 335$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed MODUS | 20c | 328.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed MODUS | 33c | 317.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed MODUS | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MODUS | 22c | 302.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…e17abacked MODUS | 27c | 291$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MODUS | 27c | 251.85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 235.82$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed MODUS | 31c | 225.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked MODUS | 18c | 222.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yellow Submarine | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MODUS | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5ceebacked MODUS | 14c | 199.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 190.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked MODUS | 12c | 185.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed MODUS | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MODUS | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed MODUS | 7c | 152.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 152.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MODUS | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed MODUS | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MODUS | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 140$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 136.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 135.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked MODUS | 28c | 132.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 131.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MODUS | 30c | 128.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 125.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd28…9accbacked MODUS | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed MODUS | 27c | 122.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 112.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 111.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.