Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e06d066c790c229bb32073e80a1f7fd5122627603dd67dd3609b0f87f632dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed MODUS | 31c | 321,415$100,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,876.5 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 89,690$60,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,571.05 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 50,570$33,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,686.72 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 12,914$8,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.49 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 10,500$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MODUS | 16c | 9,695$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.46 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 7,314$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.97 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 6,632$5,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.87 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed MODUS | 30c | 6,417$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.91 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 5,897$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.8 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 5,844$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.43 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…190dbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 5,520$3,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 5,302$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.38 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 5,032$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 4,209$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.96 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 4,162$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.96 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 3,827$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 3,717$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.89 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 3,294$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.78 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 3,122$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 3,072$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 3,010$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MODUS | 26c | 3,001$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.37 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 2,994$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.84 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 2,707$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.79 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 2,609$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.51 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 2,500$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.69 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 2,498$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.8 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 2,450$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 2,399$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.48 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 2,091$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.21 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 2,034$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 2,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MODUS | 20c | 2,000$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.63 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 1,831$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.27 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 1,689$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,570$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 1,552$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.14 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…4fcfbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 1,463$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…cb2abacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,418$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,382$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.95 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…2101backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 1,304$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 1,257$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,203$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.01 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 78c | 1,139$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 27c | 1,105$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,069$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.57 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 1,066$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…aa3ebacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,027$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed MODUS | 31c | 1,023$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS | 22c | 1,009$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 1,006$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 1,005$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed MODUS | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MODUS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked MODUS | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…fb3abacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 901$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 900$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS | 24c | 898.83$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…a267backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 875$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 838.11$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed MODUS | 31c | 833$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 831$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MODUS | 26c | 824.81$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 805.56$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.83 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 791.89$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 788.3$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 731.52$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 729$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked MODUS | 18c | 719.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked MODUS | 29c | 713.02$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 651.71$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…1612backed MODUS | 26c | 597$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…322dbacked MODUS | 26c | 557$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed MODUS | 31c | 550.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 546.8$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed MODUS | 20c | 540.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…c9d5backed MODUS | 18c | 536.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed MODUS | 31c | 526.54$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 515.62$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 514.05$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…0b58backed MODUS | 10c | 512$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Yellow Submarine | 71c | 507$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 506.46$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yellow Submarine | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yellow Submarine | 76c | 499.89$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.89 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…f18ebacked MODUS | 27c | 484$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed Yellow Submarine | 79c | 481.01$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed MODUS | 25c | 472.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed MODUS | 21c | 460.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…85d7backed MODUS | 27c | 459$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yellow Submarine | 70c | 457.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.