Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b9a8916ec79f57b03d6a965ff7e27af511eed9abc08010d3f099b878d3b2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 4ikibamboniof 4ikibamboni, Team AION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team AION | 26c | 13,535$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,551.43 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked 4ikibamboni | 70c | 6,796$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.41 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 4ikibamboni | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.96 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Team AION | 29c | 3,549$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.29 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Team AION | 34c | 2,441$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Team AION | 3c | 2,112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed 4ikibamboni | 79c | 2,097$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.24 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked 4ikibamboni | 72c | 2,067$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.75 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 1,921$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.3 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team AION | 32c | 1,687$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 1,500$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked 4ikibamboni | 47c | 1,492$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 1,413$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.67 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked 4ikibamboni | 78c | 1,398$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.46 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 4ikibamboni | 76c | 1,281$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.6 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed 4ikibamboni | 71c | 1,069$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.1 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Team AION | 30c | 947.92$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Team AION | 24c | 827.44$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team AION | 36c | 700.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked 4ikibamboni | 71c | 696.7$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.44 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Team AION | 26c | 688.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 621.96$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Team AION | 50c | 620$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 4ikibamboni | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 4ikibamboni | 52c | 599.93$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.97 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team AION | 23c | 586.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed 4ikibamboni | 71c | 569.44$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…eb07backed Team AION | 28c | 524.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Team AION | 36c | 518.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed 4ikibamboni | 75c | 410.09$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team AION | 33c | 409.91$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team AION | 29c | 407$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 4ikibamboni | 55c | 361.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Team AION | 28c | 358.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed 4ikibamboni | 77c | 350$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 347.49$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team AION | 31c | 340.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team AION | 26c | 331$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team AION | 7c | 330.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 4ikibamboni | 66c | 288.59$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team AION | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team AION | 29c | 263.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed 4ikibamboni | 78c | 257.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Team AION | 42c | 235.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed 4ikibamboni | 58c | 218.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team AION | 25c | 211.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Team AION | 25c | 207$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team AION | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed Team AION | 31c | 195.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed 4ikibamboni | 78c | 192.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 186.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Team AION | 32c | 185.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Team AION | 24c | 179.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Team AION | 17c | 177.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team AION | 32c | 175.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Team AION | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team AION | 24c | 167.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Team AION | 34c | 157.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.43 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team AION | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Team AION | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…97fcbacked Team AION | 26c | 145.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team AION | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked 4ikibamboni | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Team AION | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked 4ikibamboni | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team AION | 26c | 136$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team AION | 21c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team AION | 23c | 132.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed 4ikibamboni | 76c | 132.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed 4ikibamboni | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed Team AION | 34c | 129.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…a4e4backed 4ikibamboni | 72c | 128.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Team AION | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team AION | 31c | 104.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Team AION | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed 4ikibamboni | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Team AION | 23c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked 4ikibamboni | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team AION | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 4ikibamboni | 72c | 97.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Team AION | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Team AION | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Team AION | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Team AION | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team AION | 25c | 83.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team AION | 17c | 80.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team AION | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team AION | 31c | 79.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked 4ikibamboni | 75c | 75.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team AION | 36c | 74.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team AION | 35c | 72.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team AION | 25c | 69.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Team AION | 31c | 68.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Team AION | 23c | 61.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed 4ikibamboni | 76c | 61.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed 4ikibamboni | 73c | 60.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…b5a5backed Team AION | 27c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Team AION | 26c | 59.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Team AION | 28c | 58.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…4985backed 4ikibamboni | 62c | 57.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A4ikibamboni won
- Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION - Game 1 Winner4ikibamboni won
- Game Handicap: 4iki (-1.5) vs Team AION (+1.5)4ikibamboni won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.