CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe63612a49811910f19732bf5389da9eb3336c8ccacae35606699b34255de224d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof HOTU, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU | 42c | 2,453$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed HOTU | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…e287backed HOTU | 48c | 916.33$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed TDK | 73c | 761$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked TDK | 75c | 735.19$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 36c | 702.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.9 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed TDK | 48c | 589.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked HOTU | 46c | 529.1$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.81 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 30c | 478.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed TDK | 78c | 428.55$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed TDK | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed TDK | 71c | 340.63$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 29c | 327.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed TDK | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU | 32c | 318$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed HOTU | 10c | 296.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 68c | 280.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 23c | 262.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed HOTU | 37c | 260.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 55c | 259.51$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.04 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed TDK | 74c | 248.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed TDK | 38c | 248.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU | 25c | 211.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed HOTU | 42c | 210$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked TDK | 66c | 205.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked TDK | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TDK | 65c | 189.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked HOTU | 12c | 180.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed TDK | 36c | 172$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed TDK | 72c | 156.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TDK | 51c | 156.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed TDK | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 32c | 144.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU | 47c | 141.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed HOTU | 40c | 141.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU | 43c | 129.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked TDK | 60c | 124.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7560backed TDK | 35c | 124.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed TDK | 54c | 111.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TDK | 30c | 108.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed TDK | 74c | 108.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked HOTU | 77c | 108$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed HOTU | 29c | 103.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed HOTU | 50c | 99.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…dd8bbacked TDK | 61c | 93.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed HOTU | 37c | 92.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 58c | 92.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU | 24c | 90.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked TDK | 70c | 85.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…fe6bbacked TDK | 75c | 81.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU | 41c | 81.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed HOTU | 19c | 80.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed TDK | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed HOTU | 49c | 72.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed HOTU | 55c | 71.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 45c | 70.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed HOTU | 38c | 67.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…352dbacked HOTU | 44c | 66.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked TDK | 66c | 65.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed TDK | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked HOTU | 28c | 64.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked TDK | 28c | 63.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed HOTU | 45c | 63.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TDK | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 59c | 57.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed TDK | 53c | 55.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed HOTU | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 26c | 54.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed HOTU | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked HOTU | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed TDK | 52c | 47.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked TDK | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked HOTU | 29c | 38.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked TDK | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed TDK | 70c | 36.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed TDK | 52c | 36.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed TDK | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked HOTU | 56c | 34.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed TDK | 58c | 34.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed TDK | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed TDK | 60c | 33.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed HOTU | 55c | 30.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed HOTU | 60c | 30.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed HOTU | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed TDK | 68c | 26.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed TDK | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed TDK | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8332…0235backed TDK | 70c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed HOTU | 73c | 16.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.