TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TDKof HOTU, TDK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU42c2,453$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.194,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed HOTU1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fa…e287backed HOTU48c916.33$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed TDK73c761$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9130153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked TDK75c735.19$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0335466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU36c702.62$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.963457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed TDK48c589.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.4910551.4%54 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked HOTU46c529.1$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8119548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU30c478.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.382,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed TDK78c428.55$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2115155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed TDK27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed TDK71c340.63$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9733553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HOTU29c327.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.825,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed TDK62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5820156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU32c318$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.623,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed HOTU10c296.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TDK68c280.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.76,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HOTU23c262.63$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.274,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed HOTU37c260.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8619340.4%78 W · 115 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU55c259.51$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.047,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed TDK74c248.74$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7438552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed TDK38c248.74$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6919329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU25c211.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.713,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed HOTU42c210$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+59.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked TDK66c205.82$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.828638.4%33 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked TDK73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5420944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked TDK65c189.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8930348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7070…821cbacked HOTU12c180.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.771540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed TDK36c172$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.251,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed TDK72c156.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.612462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked TDK51c156.21$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9882646.2%382 W · 444 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed TDK52c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5182142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU32c144.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.712,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU47c141.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed HOTU40c141.27$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9249935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU43c129.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7262738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ccf…0c6ebacked TDK60c124.08$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.635435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa03f…7560backed TDK35c124.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed TDK54c111.98$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9727748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TDK30c108.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.242,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed TDK74c108.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6526657.9%154 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4f8…436cbacked HOTU77c108$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.257668.4%52 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed HOTU29c103.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed HOTU50c99.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509140.7%37 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf97f…dd8bbacked TDK61c93.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8211352.2%59 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed HOTU37c92.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.157935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK58c92.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.85,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU24c90.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked TDK70c85.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.832,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c7…fe6bbacked TDK75c81.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU41c81.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4692145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed HOTU19c80.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed TDK74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.915277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed HOTU49c72.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.263237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed HOTU55c71.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7489046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU45c70.4$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.54,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed HOTU38c67.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.495444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ca…352dbacked HOTU44c66.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.373351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU27c66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.092,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked TDK66c65.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.540972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed TDK31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5223940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…021ebacked HOTU28c64.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.184332.6%14 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+212.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked TDK28c63.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7753034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x542a…0312backed HOTU45c63.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3810232.4%33 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TDK55c63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.422,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU59c57.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.135,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed TDK53c55.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0654148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed HOTU58c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7645754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU26c54.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed HOTU24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked HOTU38c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.256634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed TDK52c47.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-80.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked TDK56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.819954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked HOTU29c38.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked TDK69c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3736174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed TDK70c36.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8610643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed TDK52c36.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.270242.2%296 W · 406 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…d8b8backed TDK59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.358858%51 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked HOTU56c34.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…17e6backed TDK58c34.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.474751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed TDK59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed TDK60c33.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.463655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed HOTU55c30.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.893644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed HOTU60c30.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4340857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed HOTU42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.660451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed TDK68c26.29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.419565.3%62 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed TDK75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed TDK63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4614850%74 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8332…0235backed TDK70c17.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa099…b1d4backed HOTU73c16.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.757159.2%42 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.