CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6176f32d1e4e0c3f9d50cbfb263816f340d5ad38a5b14709ac43da1979ea2f02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof HOTU, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked TDK | 66c | 1,461$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.91 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed TDK | 45c | 1,077$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.54 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 50c | 999.41$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.72 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed HOTU | 52c | 972.76$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.83 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed TDK | 50c | 888.89$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.46 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed HOTU | 48c | 808.4$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 58c | 682.22$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HOTU | 24c | 631.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 69c | 582.39$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed TDK | 38c | 424.02$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TDK | 66c | 419.56$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed TDK | 48c | 416.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed HOTU | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked TDK | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 36c | 387.09$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.57 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked HOTU | 31c | 363.3$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed HOTU | 36c | 285.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…fdaabacked TDK | 73c | 254.32$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked TDK | 46c | 248.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed TDK | 48c | 221.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed TDK | 46c | 218.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HOTU | 35c | 206.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TDK | 52c | 201.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed HOTU | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked HOTU | 58c | 197.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed TDK | 72c | 185$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…e287backed HOTU | 56c | 185$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed TDK | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…b6c4backed HOTU | 59c | 163.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked HOTU | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed TDK | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked TDK | 73c | 145.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU | 49c | 145.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked TDK | 47c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HOTU | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HOTU | 44c | 121.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TDK | 74c | 120.39$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed TDK | 74c | 120.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 44c | 119.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed TDK | 68c | 115.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed HOTU | 33c | 107.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked TDK | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed HOTU | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked HOTU | 59c | 95.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked TDK | 74c | 94.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed HOTU | 53c | 94.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed TDK | 45c | 89.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 50c | 89.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed TDK | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed TDK | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed TDK | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed HOTU | 51c | 80.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked HOTU | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 42c | 77.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked HOTU | 49c | 73.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed TDK | 65c | 71.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed HOTU | 40c | 66.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked HOTU | 59c | 66.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked HOTU | 41c | 59.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed TDK | 73c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed TDK | 37c | 52.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked TDK | 59c | 50.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed HOTU | 52c | 50.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed HOTU | 66c | 49.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed TDK | 59c | 49.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 47c | 48.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU | 40c | 47.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed TDK | 57c | 47.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked HOTU | 51c | 45.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…fe6bbacked TDK | 54c | 45.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed HOTU | 46c | 45.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked HOTU | 31c | 45.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…73d0backed TDK | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed HOTU | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed TDK | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked HOTU | 36c | 38.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed TDK | 49c | 37.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HOTU | 37c | 35.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked HOTU | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed HOTU | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked HOTU | 50c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TDK | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed HOTU | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed TDK | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed TDK | 50c | 22.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked TDK | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed TDK | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTDK won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.