TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked XLG Gaming43c24,357$10,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,518.7528955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming60c20,920$12,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,652.4954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Gentle Mates38c20,137$7,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,496.5224145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Gentle Mates62c19,192$11,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,355.0152155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Gentle Mates64c8,353$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,043.910455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Gentle Mates55c8,000$4,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.2332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Gentle Mates61c5,100$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,989.941973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed XLG Gaming38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed XLG Gaming66c4,283$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.611241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Gentle Mates59c3,892$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.7557151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates62c3,533$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.4919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked XLG Gaming36c3,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2602330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03d8…e73cbacked Gentle Mates68c2,748$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.243050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed XLG Gaming37c2,516$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.443966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed XLG Gaming37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.8639042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed XLG Gaming36c2,352$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7214938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Gentle Mates56c2,312$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2733838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed XLG Gaming24c2,256$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4410842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed XLG Gaming38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80025660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed XLG Gaming43c2,090$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.217241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed XLG Gaming40c2,015$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8064042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed XLG Gaming38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7603834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed XLG Gaming37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9918143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Gentle Mates59c1,864$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.9834857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked XLG Gaming23c1,803$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.996250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked Gentle Mates78c1,722$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.648936%32 W · 57 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Gentle Mates51c1,713$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.4970043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Gentle Mates54c1,402$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.6323644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Gentle Mates55c1,375$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.4477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Gentle Mates55c1,371$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.0342140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed XLG Gaming26c1,355$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.621,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed XLG Gaming37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed XLG Gaming62c1,290$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.124759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Gentle Mates37c1,256$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.148145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed XLG Gaming17c1,231$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates77c1,221$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.591,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Gentle Mates55c1,198$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed XLG Gaming33c1,171$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed XLG Gaming33c1,144$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3741127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked XLG Gaming6c1,132$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.133644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed XLG Gaming39c1,127$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1915038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming54c1,073$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.9260022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked XLG Gaming68c1,012$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.5930652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Gentle Mates64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3605655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed XLG Gaming38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3802356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked XLG Gaming38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3808334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked XLG Gaming13c979.01$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming32c975.6$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.5488844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Gentle Mates40c902.09$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.0622344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Gentle Mates63c899.99$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33321055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed XLG Gaming24c897.67$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.531513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-69.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Gentle Mates61c872.44$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.8923732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed XLG Gaming35c869.68$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Gentle Mates60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.219655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked XLG Gaming24c798.45$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.29151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed XLG Gaming26c791.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7454342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Gentle Mates62c777.1$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.317640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed XLG Gaming37c757.55$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2946347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed XLG Gaming41c750$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.57252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8cc…661ebacked XLG Gaming37c741$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.595660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed XLG Gaming10c712.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.819439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming22c707.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.171,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed XLG Gaming59c700$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.93852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked XLG Gaming39c673$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.478144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Gentle Mates34c650$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4291560%9 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Gentle Mates54c638.48$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.376647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed XLG Gaming24c604.94$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6469722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed XLG Gaming19c589.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5522018.2%40 W · 180 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed XLG Gaming20c569.02$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.223132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Gentle Mates48c568.09$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5213455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed XLG Gaming27c561.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked XLG Gaming37c533.78$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6913044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming19c506.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked XLG Gaming20c501.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6428743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed XLG Gaming38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d1…6516backed XLG Gaming63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked XLG Gaming38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-57.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73ae…e665backed XLG Gaming38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed XLG Gaming36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed XLG Gaming36c481.11$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.215843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed Gentle Mates57c469.88$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.145743.9%25 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Gentle Mates78c461.76$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8540944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed XLG Gaming37c452.7$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.563955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed XLG Gaming9c451.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Gentle Mates70c404.07$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9626932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed XLG Gaming24c397.15$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9511445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Gentle Mates76c394.67$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3121136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Gentle Mates75c389.12$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.462748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming37c375.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5296245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed XLG Gaming44c375$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Gentle Mates64c373$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.281957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed XLG Gaming12c363.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.426033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates74c335.01$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.231,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Gentle Mates65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693941%16 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed XLG Gaming35c307.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6916950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked XLG Gaming12c304.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.586442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Gentle Mates64c303.27$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1862156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed XLG Gaming57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6718049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…e654backed Gentle Mates78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Gentle Mates65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10525444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.