Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec919c22666ca153335340f577f44569fac1875faa462c32fcac75b21f7549bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof Gentle Mates, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 1,364$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.75 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 1,191$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.55 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 1,011$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 943.45$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.63 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 676.21$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 590.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Gentle Mates | 9c | 583.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 471.24$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.24 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked XLG Gaming | 65c | 420.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 417.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 413.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 384.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 351.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed XLG Gaming | 60c | 270.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed XLG Gaming | 49c | 270$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming | 53c | 227.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gentle Mates | 6c | 217.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 188.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed XLG Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…1932backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 148.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Gentle Mates | 22c | 148.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 148$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked XLG Gaming | 62c | 136.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 120.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 115.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 113$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 101.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 95.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked XLG Gaming | 63c | 91.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 58c | 90.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked XLG Gaming | 64c | 77.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed XLG Gaming | 58c | 74.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed XLG Gaming | 56c | 71.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 63.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked XLG Gaming | 71c | 62.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3b51backed XLG Gaming | 59c | 62.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Gentle Mates | 40c | 57.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed XLG Gaming | 57c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 55.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 53.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 53.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 52.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked XLG Gaming | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 45.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…9327backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 44.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed XLG Gaming | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked XLG Gaming | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 35.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 26.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Gentle Mates | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac6…5bf9backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 20.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.