Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde5276c61a25fb9129c473114eb34e4c722092e4beee0c22c32aa3af2b9d9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 2,083$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.02 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 1,426$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed XLG Gaming | 43c | 1,343$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 1,332$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 1,211$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.82 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 1,102$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 1,078$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.98 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 656.87$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked XLG Gaming | 47c | 621.28$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 552.18$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked XLG Gaming | 7c | 499.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 495.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 470.44$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.44 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 369.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…1932backed XLG Gaming | 41c | 300.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed XLG Gaming | 16c | 299.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…d718backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 282.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 280$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 262$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed XLG Gaming | 5c | 234.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 233.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked XLG Gaming | 45c | 222.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 216.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed XLG Gaming | 47c | 211.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed XLG Gaming | 10c | 210.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 182$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…0968backed XLG Gaming | 14c | 176.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 166$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 143.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 123.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 117.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 102.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Gentle Mates | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…00eabacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 94.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 92.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 90.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 70.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked XLG Gaming | 39c | 53.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed XLG Gaming | 26c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked XLG Gaming | 44c | 25.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 14.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.