TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof BIG, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$528,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,078 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 479 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe40e…9770backed MIBR50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed MIBR49c37,237$18,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,871.5820354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed MIBR51c25,047$12,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,272.7948350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed MIBR49c23,774$11,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,018.0623839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked BIG50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked BIG51c15,000$7,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,715.7176058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked BIG51c13,000$6,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,63536453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BIG49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed MIBR50c11,111$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.1533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed BIG50c10,300$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15010850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked BIG50c9,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75064852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…62babacked BIG34c8,748$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked MIBR49c8,360$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,273.148258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked BIG3c7,517$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2598239%32 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG49c7,504$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.895,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BIG50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed MIBR49c7,000$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.9929449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked MIBR51c6,398$3,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.9228538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked MIBR50c6,241$3,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.9814145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MIBR50c5,898$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,937.4716448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BIG49c5,238$2,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,566.6536645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BIG50c5,147$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,577.0926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed BIG52c5,100$2,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6522045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked BIG51c5,010$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.8620248.5%98 W · 104 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed BIG51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BIG49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed BIG35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed BIG50c4,876$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4381315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed BIG52c4,000$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.69550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked BIG51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3473…0c12backed MIBR77c3,961$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.57540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked BIG23c3,950$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.7140137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.9566851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed MIBR49c3,393$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.5617249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed BIG36c3,235$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.916640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed BIG50c3,061$1,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,530.56144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked BIG7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0252834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed BIG50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed BIG48c2,824$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.5311633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf192…ed44backed BIG53c2,730$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed BIG53c2,626$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40017554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked MIBR49c2,603$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.31,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked BIG51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2751,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed BIG1c2,352$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.416036.3%58 W · 102 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BIG50c2,340$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x792e…fd6cbacked BIG55c2,258$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BIG17c2,100$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.063,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BIG50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed BIG1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked MIBR51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.184546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed BIG52c1,950$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.9910956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed MIBR49c1,913$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.5437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c6…0123backed BIG27c1,762$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.456743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed MIBR48c1,744$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.0338841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed MIBR48c1,717$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.197353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BIG49c1,669$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.292,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BIG41c1,668$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.583,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG17c1,657$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.176,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG47c1,600$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7521,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed BIG53c1,514$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.2828455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked BIG2c1,500$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9516311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked MIBR69c1,443$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.0763157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BIG50c1,392$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44e8…d01cbacked BIG13c1,348$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0d…31d3backed MIBR49c1,315$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed MIBR52c1,300$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BIG42c1,273$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.632,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed BIG47c1,265$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.5712748%61 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed BIG42c1,242$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.9276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed MIBR71c1,240$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.929158.2%53 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…eb10backed MIBR48c1,237$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.24875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed BIG11c1,216$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.188330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked MIBR50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BIG10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BIG48c1,194$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.1261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed BIG51c1,185$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.4161948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked BIG50c1,185$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.534943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed MIBR48c1,127$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.643435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed BIG54c1,095$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.174264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked BIG32c1,055$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.673930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MIBR48c1,030$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.71,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed BIG49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BIG50c1,001$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.052,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BIG41c1,000$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.594,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed BIG50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BIG50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed BIG50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007337%27 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…0517backed MIBR51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked BIG51c999.97$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.9894645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed BIG50c979.46$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.736147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed BIG52c965.52$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff1…2dd7backed BIG49c954.92$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.871266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+49.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked MIBR48c918.43$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3340950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BIG23c904.88$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.711,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked MIBR48c900.53$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3134140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR47c888$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.641,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BIG10c881.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3412118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked MIBR65c854.29$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.3561754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked BIG50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42038844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked BIG50c832.88$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.4440253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.