TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, BBL Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65c1…2988backed BBL Esports38c55,602$21,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,037.2225855.4%143 W · 115 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves64c25,000$16,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.0352455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves62c16,004$9,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,091.429255.8%163 W · 129 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed BBL Esports35c14,294$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.816643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 100 Thieves62c13,400$8,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0925246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked 100 Thieves54c6,747$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.1318148.1%87 W · 94 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed 100 Thieves62c6,452$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.61977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+66.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked 100 Thieves63c5,147$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,904.3833153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed 100 Thieves64c4,582$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.843966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed 100 Thieves62c4,074$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.124158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed 100 Thieves62c3,869$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.4119960.3%120 W · 79 L+17.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked BBL Esports55c3,570$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9612948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked BBL Esports48c3,080$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.452755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed 100 Thieves62c2,757$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.5817740.1%71 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BBL Esports43c2,699$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8119546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked BBL Esports65c2,673$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.583847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed BBL Esports28c2,602$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.1532445.4%147 W · 177 L+51.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+39.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BBL Esports40c2,580$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.121,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed 100 Thieves59c2,516$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.91540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed 100 Thieves56c2,502$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.147656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked BBL Esports47c2,395$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.2151344.6%229 W · 284 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed BBL Esports38c2,144$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.721957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves57c2,118$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.6993649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed 100 Thieves51c2,060$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01017150.9%87 W · 84 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed BBL Esports35c2,027$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.4154851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BBL Esports36c1,800$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64842035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d3…586bbacked 100 Thieves63c1,770$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.786250%31 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed 100 Thieves47c1,750$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.472466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BBL Esports32c1,688$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.331,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BBL Esports35c1,378$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4281834.8%285 W · 533 L-61.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcaeb…92f6backed BBL Esports37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.873834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves62c1,281$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1225761.1%157 W · 100 L+22.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked BBL Esports39c1,280$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.816647%31 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8168…6857backed 100 Thieves52c1,250$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed 100 Thieves69c1,149$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9149455.3%273 W · 221 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves60c1,132$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.2375142.7%321 W · 430 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked BBL Esports61c1,128$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.2426650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed 100 Thieves62c1,116$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.132924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed 100 Thieves64c1,106$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1716133.5%54 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked BBL Esports43c1,070$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.321055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked 100 Thieves53c1,040$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.315552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves59c1,016$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.778344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports53c1,014$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5862156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed 100 Thieves53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed 100 Thieves54c999.97$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.493928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed BBL Esports51c980.5$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed 100 Thieves54c913.64$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1923151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed 100 Thieves55c909.52$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.263464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports38c903.81$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5185138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BBL Esports37c888$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.5655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked BBL Esports48c879.69$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.951952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b5…be4bbacked BBL Esports38c876.92$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed BBL Esports37c861.11$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.3315137.7%57 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed BBL Esports50c853.09$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5416547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed BBL Esports50c828.11$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BBL Esports49c793.13$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.461,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked BBL Esports38c792.11$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30129733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed 100 Thieves45c723.73$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.732853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed BBL Esports37c712.59$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaec7…03efbacked 100 Thieves74c690.75$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked BBL Esports32c680.67$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.533644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked BBL Esports32c672.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.826442.2%27 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed BBL Esports21c642$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.415058%29 W · 21 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed BBL Esports38c635.84$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves49c625.71$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.7735142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed BBL Esports65c617.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed BBL Esports34c603.95$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5540944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed BBL Esports50c600.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 100 Thieves54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27619656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked 100 Thieves53c576.38$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.3830652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed 100 Thieves52c571.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BBL Esports44c563.8$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4555637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports42c559.66$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.611,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed BBL Esports52c559.27$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.677540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed 100 Thieves75c555$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2514850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked BBL Esports37c552.49$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4226450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked BBL Esports39c546.21$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.026137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked 100 Thieves58c545.54$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.264843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed BBL Esports37c544.78$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5712945.7%59 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed BBL Esports37c540$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.818149.7%90 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked BBL Esports35c512$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.27338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed BBL Esports38c511.21$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.266028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed 100 Thieves51c507.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed BBL Esports36c500.1$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0425453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed BBL Esports35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17518940.7%77 W · 112 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed BBL Esports37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1852138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked 100 Thieves62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19013455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed 100 Thieves55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BBL Esports46c494.89$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3370543.5%307 W · 398 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed BBL Esports54c475.72$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25517332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 100 Thieves63c474.07$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4125756%144 W · 113 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves50c470.05$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0360423%139 W · 465 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x500c…aa52backed 100 Thieves78c469.26$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BBL Esports43c446.31$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.571,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed BBL Esports45c417.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.186755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked BBL Esports39c410.64$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1525444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked BBL Esports51c388.5$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.859151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BBL Esports39c384.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.6996945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BBL Esports38c380$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.436648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed BBL Esports50c380$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.