Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e71415930ea804914627cf5ce88756087b7e96fc460df9211c57745b572fa99

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: BBL Esportsof 100 Thieves, BBL Esports
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $70,802
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $80,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,802 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves	67c	27,896$18,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,623.63	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed BBL Esports	33c	25,000$8,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,750	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed 100 Thieves	0c	7,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed BBL Esports	34c	2,941$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,941.17	256	60.9%156 W · 100 L	+22.5wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed BBL Esports	22c	1,783$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.42	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves	43c	1,175$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.9	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked 100 Thieves	61c	1,175$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.03	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 100 Thieves	46c	1,164$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.29	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed BBL Esports	42c	1,092$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.8	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed 100 Thieves	1c	1,013$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	102	17.6%18 W · 84 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves	53c	932$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.6	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed 100 Thieves	59c	844.91$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BBL Esports	40c	840.83$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.73	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed 100 Thieves	60c	826.07$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.15	639	55.6%355 W · 284 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BBL Esports	36c	750$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.5	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves	56c	528.94$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.52	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports	36c	514.83$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.36	930	49.4%459 W · 471 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed BBL Esports	39c	497.08$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.22	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BBL Esports	39c	488.46$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.96	287	47.4%136 W · 151 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed BBL Esports	46c	472.37$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.17	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports	73c	468.35$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.21	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked 100 Thieves	66c	454.55$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves	51c	445.22$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.66	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed BBL Esports	41c	397.24$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.37	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed 100 Thieves	73c	350$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.5	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed 100 Thieves	28c	301.98$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.09	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed 100 Thieves	76c	264.42$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	56cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves	65c	251$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.81	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked BBL Esports	35c	249.38$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.01	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves	24c	205.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves	49c	201$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.56	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed 100 Thieves	38c	180$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.8	353	31.2%110 W · 243 L	-29.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked BBL Esports	69c	158.73$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.62	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed BBL Esports	36c	155.14$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.52	148	50.7%75 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed 100 Thieves	65c	151.64$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bef…3787backed 100 Thieves	61c	149.08$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.94	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed BBL Esports	68c	148.43$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.83	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	53cpaid	+71.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…21c5backed BBL Esports	36c	140$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.6	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves	58c	137$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.15	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked 100 Thieves	67c	129.85$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	128	56.3%72 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed 100 Thieves	15c	120.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed 100 Thieves	36c	119.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	147	37.4%55 W · 92 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BBL Esports	39c	114.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves	27c	101.83$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BBL Esports	35c	96.53$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.65	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed BBL Esports	56c	96.44$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.25	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves	45c	93.71$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.34	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves	27c	92.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	421	40.4%170 W · 251 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed 100 Thieves	33c	90.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves	58c	83.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.23	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked 100 Thieves	28c	81.89$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed 100 Thieves	66c	78.73$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed 100 Thieves	64c	78.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked BBL Esports	39c	70.28$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.87	121	43%52 W · 69 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed 100 Thieves	61c	65.57$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked BBL Esports	41c	53$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.37	420	51.9%218 W · 202 L	-21.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BBL Esports	73c	51$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	556	37.6%209 W · 347 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed 100 Thieves	59c	50.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	634	47.9%304 W · 330 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked BBL Esports	33c	50$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed 100 Thieves	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	666	50.8%338 W · 328 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BBL Esports	45c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.75	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed BBL Esports	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bf…147fbacked 100 Thieves	56c	49.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed BBL Esports	33c	49.75$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked 100 Thieves	61c	49.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves	22c	45.62$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.03	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…4596backed BBL Esports	39c	43.59$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.59	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed 100 Thieves	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	252	45.2%114 W · 138 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked 100 Thieves	48c	37.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed BBL Esports	35c	35.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.2	99	42.4%42 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BBL Esports	41c	34.57$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.3	689	49.5%341 W · 348 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 100 Thieves	65c	33.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves	45c	33.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.03	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed BBL Esports	60c	32.24$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.86	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked BBL Esports	51c	26.06$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.67	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked 100 Thieves	77c	25.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked 100 Thieves	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed 100 Thieves	62c	19.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	117	70.9%83 W · 34 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed 100 Thieves	59c	19.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	254	53.5%136 W · 118 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed 100 Thieves	64c	18.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)BBL Esports won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Under won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A100 Thieves won
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event