Asian League · resolved market
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87c3405568fdeaf6f7e7e6b396212b4ce8637e3e57f51308effe50224a1b889a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26c8…dc53backed Yes | 1c | 20,215$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 47c | 5,230$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.21 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 59c | 4,403$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.34 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 3,948$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 2,885$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.81 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6d37backed Yes | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 69c | 1,399$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,010$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Yes | 60c | 947.25$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 935.26$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.48 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 657.2$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.22 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 57c | 653.74$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 57c | 597.81$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.11 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 50c | 467.71$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.81 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 406.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.21 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 390.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 44c | 335.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 276.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 49c | 258.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 78c | 232.05$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 41c | 204.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 34c | 188.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 184.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 47c | 156.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Yes | 62c | 149.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…c1f2backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 64c | 125.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 120.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 35c | 112.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 36c | 109.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 109.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 66c | 106.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 41c | 105$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 100.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 43c | 99.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed No | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 34c | 91.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 37c | 83.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 38c | 78.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 77.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 45c | 72.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 41c | 69.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 60c | 68.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…1c1cbacked Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed No | 43c | 59.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 37c | 57.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 57.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 55c | 55.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 64c | 49.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 57c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 45.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 48c | 44.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 28c | 43.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…2a5abacked Yes | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 77cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 62c | 39.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 38.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 67c | 38.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed No | 38c | 36.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…75a4backed No | 70c | 36.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed Yes | 58c | 33.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed No | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…b0c5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…a134backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…f76ebacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…582fbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 42c | 30.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b48…85d2backed Yes | 57c | 28.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 41c | 27.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed No | 42c | 27.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Yes | 64c | 26.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 46c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…7617backed No | 69c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a5…7f75backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…ad9bbacked Yes | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 61c | 17.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…80c5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 65c | 15.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 68c | 14.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.