Asian League · resolved market
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x434537039ebd1deb897d55cff5634d5625c6c29f7faef1a90cd41f64b602a9ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 27c | 14,584$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 6,981$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 2,328$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,718$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,530$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 35c | 771.57$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 395.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 36c | 355.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 299.53$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 17c | 294.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Yes | 12c | 277.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 66c | 273.05$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 257.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 17c | 255.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 22c | 199.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…1497backed Yes | 36c | 180.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 11c | 135.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 115.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 66c | 109.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 100.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 82.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 79.32$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 14c | 73.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 67c | 66.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 38c | 62.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 62c | 56.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…1c1cbacked Yes | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 68c | 51.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 62c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Yes | 36c | 40.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 65c | 30.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed No | 74c | 27.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 65c | 27.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed No | 75c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…8b53backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 79c | 20.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed No | 65c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed No | 76c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-06?No won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.