TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, 9INE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$226,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe40e…9770backed Inner Circle Esports62c24,115$14,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,163.7617951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Inner Circle Esports11c6,293$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,592.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid+18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Inner Circle Esports39c6,178$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.021,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed 9INE38c6,012$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.4984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 9INE37c6,000$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.2628538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked 9INE38c5,613$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.385,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Inner Circle Esports63c5,099$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.3817162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Inner Circle Esports50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50033359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports45c4,019$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed 9INE37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.9911434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed 9INE35c3,165$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.2329449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Inner Circle Esports63c3,110$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.692,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked 9INE65c3,043$1,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,962.687436.5%27 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked 9INE33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Inner Circle Esports63c2,851$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.6748350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Esports48c2,791$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.763,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 9INE53c2,580$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.8563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked 9INE37c2,380$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.4236440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 9INE45c2,303$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.62,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 9INE43c2,172$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.382,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed 9INE47c2,024$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 9INE57c1,830$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.9866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a4…72a9backed Inner Circle Esports63c1,759$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.832650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked 9INE37c1,752$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.031,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked 9INE68c1,598$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.124645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed 9INE38c1,500$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed 9INE65c1,374$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.2137440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked 9INE41c1,336$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.742,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Inner Circle Esports33c1,291$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.2918154.7%99 W · 82 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc33…eb35backed Inner Circle Esports39c1,279$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.632853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729b…1b33backed 9INE38c1,241$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.561947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Inner Circle Esports63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44432346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 9INE52c1,149$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.943,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked 9INE44c1,139$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.086540%26 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed 9INE37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40059755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked 9INE47c1,060$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23d6…18a2backed Inner Circle Esports39c1,050$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.822437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 9INE41c1,031$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.415,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3081…5834backed 9INE22c1,007$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 9INE44c999.01$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.92,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9INE50c972.84$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.425,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Inner Circle Esports63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.3831345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Inner Circle Esports30c943.28$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.2657322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Inner Circle Esports55c915$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4152466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Inner Circle Esports55c907.07$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.151,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 9INE46c871.68$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.934,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed 9INE51c863.77$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.543544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Inner Circle Esports51c815.37$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3714544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed 9INE38c810.81$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.412,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056b…303ebacked Inner Circle Esports63c788.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.985650%28 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports18c760.05$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.285,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 9INE38c739.89$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.872,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked 9INE5c717.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.897617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33db…b673backed Inner Circle Esports75c714.67$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.07977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked 9INE38c700$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26694645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Inner Circle Esports63c680$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.638052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Inner Circle Esports67c672.56$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.081,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked 9INE63c631.14$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6711443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdf…6498backed 9INE13c619.89$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.592962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd42d…94d3backed 9INE33c602.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.436152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25c2…7458backed Inner Circle Esports20c600$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803930.8%12 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed 9INE48c588.01$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 9INE20c582.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.872,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Inner Circle Esports44c562.49$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9918736.4%68 W · 119 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd37…9d71backed 9INE63c557.08$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.597347.9%35 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed 9INE38c552.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9950051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Inner Circle Esports50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27517240.1%69 W · 103 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 9INE33c543.67$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.71,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc59f…f5f8backed Inner Circle Esports63c541$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked 9INE32c537.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.61,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked Inner Circle Esports34c523.04$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.676056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf7…9907backed Inner Circle Esports25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3752240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed 9INE38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9INE57c462$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.1861034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 9INE44c450.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked 9INE64c449.99$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4927548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked 9INE60c448.63$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1835460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked 9INE76c446$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7414544.8%65 W · 80 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0b9…5699backed 9INE45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked 9INE45c440.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83bf…8aa4backed 9INE38c433.42$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.72528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Inner Circle Esports40c432.52$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.3240137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed 9INE38c427.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.821,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x213b…362ebacked Inner Circle Esports59c424.69$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed 9INE38c412.24$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6564854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 9INE50c404.83$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.952,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4018…f37ebacked 9INE26c404.56$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.86434.4%22 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed 9INE39c403.08$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4947054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Inner Circle Esports27c401.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.048947.2%42 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…0330backed Inner Circle Esports63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4c…6952backed 9INE38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…0e1dbacked 9INE38c377.39$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dc5…6606backed 9INE23c374.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.151361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4f5…9427backed 9INE32c372.69$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed 9INE35c362.32$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed 9INE70c355.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021636.1%78 W · 138 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 9INE15c347.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.451,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Inner Circle Esports63c339.68$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6820059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Inner Circle Esports67c332.09$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0927848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Inner Circle Esports63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4652456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.