CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6d0130a700ac3ae2dacdf4fcd4c851089ed6db2e7b92e0124167f6a39066177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 3,017$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.7 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 862.38$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.92 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 48c | 733$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.63 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 46c | 277.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 57c | 251.57$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.35 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 21c | 163$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Under | 32c | 156.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 144.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 20c | 55.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 30c | 45.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 36c | 45.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 66c | 35.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 31.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group AInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winner9INE won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ICE (-1.5) vs 9INE (+1.5)9INE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.