La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2125522c9e6f56f0130a4b922893cc8fd545e1b92934f719d6715c40f69f6be5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $975,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,109,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $975,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084c…8ce8backed No | 45c | 145,301$65,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,915.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 46c | 120,000$55,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,799.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 45c | 65,331$29,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,931.96 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 54c | 57,776$31,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,407.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc137…c50dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Yes | 55c | 44,000$24,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 55c | 41,899$23,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,008.91 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916f…53babacked Yes | 54c | 37,145$20,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,058.36 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 25,723$13,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,996.03 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 55c | 22,222$12,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,240 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 55c | 21,818$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 43c | 19,347$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,027.52 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580c…cd78backed Yes | 55c | 18,253$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Yes | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 69c | 17,938$12,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed No | 46c | 15,980$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,629.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 53c | 15,350$8,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,135.36 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 40c | 14,342$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,597.09 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 13,811$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.32 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 55c | 11,182$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…0eaabacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 10,539$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.72 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3666…1751backed Yes | 0c | 10,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…e936backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc102…a6f9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…9517backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 54c | 9,325$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 57c | 8,907$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 44c | 7,567$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.59 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1032backed Yes | 66c | 7,546$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 54c | 6,666$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.64 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 56c | 6,432$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.07 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 5,407$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.35 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked No | 46c | 5,260$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.26 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 54c | 5,199$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 0c | 5,071$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 56c | 4,478$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.68 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 46c | 3,960$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.4 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6990…6185backed Yes | 55c | 3,345$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.82 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 47c | 3,210$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 3,134$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.48 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ae…528ebacked No | 6c | 3,060$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,517.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 45c | 2,311$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 46c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.96 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 55c | 1,895$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.41 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 46c | 1,709$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.86 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 1,637$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.76 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 45c | 1,610$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 44c | 1,600$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.97 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 45c | 1,513$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.25 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.74 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,439$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Yes | 54c | 1,426$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 1,284$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.04 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 55c | 1,283$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 1,120$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.6 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed No | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 22c | 977.17$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes | 58c | 957.24$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 54c | 950$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 56c | 890$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 16c | 845.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 832.15$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 48c | 831.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.41 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 814.8$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 772.36$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.26 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 55c | 768$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.12 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 75c | 733.06$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 715.27$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.45 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked No | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 54c | 642$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 54c | 627.13$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.74 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 45c | 581.11$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.61 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Yes | 54c | 553.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 51c | 552.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…e520backed No | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 54c | 549.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8474…8692backed Yes | 53c | 542.3$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…0031backed No | 47c | 542.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 526.91$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.48 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 79c | 478.48$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.