TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$173,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba05…9517backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes1c12,967$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.191,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes11c8,915$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.974,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes10c8,889$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.595440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes1c7,603$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.513,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes0c5,510$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a2…b04dbacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes2c3,536$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.321,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes18c3,079$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.222755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c2,631$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8950449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c2,500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.54216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes20c2,499$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.751216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes3c1,733$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.862429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes2c1,446$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8879133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes7c1,405$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No80c1,220$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes2c1,043$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No79c853.35$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.24959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa69a…3360backed Yes3c689.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20238.7%2 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes18c560.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.967443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes21c548.57$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.23946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes20c505$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes21c500.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.274126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2106…fa73backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e85…977abacked Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes4c489.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.881833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes22c458.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803246.9%15 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+62.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No80c361.02$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.248153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes20c307.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5432145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c03…eecdbacked Yes20c251.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes21c235$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Yes18c231$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.663240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes8c228.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes8c221.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161250%6 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+40.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed Yes14c190.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…873bbacked Yes19c180$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes19c177.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.634936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes19c142$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c135$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb0…0f48backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3b…0533backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes19c99.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes16c99.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9617044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes21c96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7612944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes20c95.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8733734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes21c90.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.957623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e4…0fb0backed Yes19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed No80c89.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.821656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No78c85.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9110268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa262…c8babacked Yes20c74.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.938643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bd…900dbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb301…79ddbacked Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1579backed Yes20c67.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.472650%13 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes21c67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8250149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ec…0923backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2951…ef00backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc4…3479backed No80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121080%8 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c56.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.81,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No80c54.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes20c51.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53650%18 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…dad3backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes21c48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0819646.4%91 W · 105 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No80c47.89$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.584562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.514574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No80c34.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…aef1backed No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked No80c24.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.851540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No74c14.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.774443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No79c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.941,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x275a…4d33backed No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.57844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.