TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,819 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c31,034$15,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,837.854,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No26c22,398$5,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,721.081553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c11,638$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,680.922,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c8,978$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,731.251,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No74c7,798$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,770.426357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Yes74c6,634$4,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.831090%9 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick63cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No75c6,318$4,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,738.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes27c5,384$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.3215034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No75c5,380$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.291973.7%14 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No75c3,659$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.011163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes76c3,022$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.6540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No75c3,020$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.381861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c2,885$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.543,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No75c2,634$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,972.791978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c2,108$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.351,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c1,869$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.0192254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c1,539$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.4125872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes18c1,270$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.43534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No75c1,219$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.97650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No75c1,157$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.754740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes19c1,057$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.449348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…66b3backed No75c971.47$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No30c955.88$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8935145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes26c954.01$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.012035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c873.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2921322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes77c850.25$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c674.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4950249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes24c657.41$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.984126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes76c655.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No25c647.56$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.89633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes73c589.7$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.564440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No13c554.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.157936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ec…f6e4backed No28c509.84$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c502$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+43.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No75c486.2$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11de…b10dbacked Yes26c465.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No42c420$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.826930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No75c419.01$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c416$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c402$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1633734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6211740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c346.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2383650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4986…aacbbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.336045%27 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes26c323.81$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c323.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c250$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1859640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c250$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.526641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c248$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…8f09backed No75c243.64$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.73862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes27c225.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Yes16c218.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No72c203$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1312944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes15c196.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.533040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes16c190$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.66237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes13c188.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3414233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No31c180.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f81…9a0dbacked No75c178.35$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No75c174.67$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes51c155.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7417044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c154$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9653242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa555…20babacked No75c153.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes8c150.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.724042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+72%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No26c149.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.946442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No68c148$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0315246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c145.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4550149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No74c139.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.582560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…a52dbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d4…a3a9backed No75c132.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes25c131.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6922746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3129…22edbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1981…7b21backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bf…5004backed No25c126.06$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes70c119.39$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8215150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No64c114.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.221,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes13c112.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7610431.7%33 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.111421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes26c110.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6320245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes25c99.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.961435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No75c98.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3230956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No28c90.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes56c87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.91,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c81.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2532545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c84…b320backed Yes79c80.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes16c76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No25c75.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2241323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No25c74.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7315444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e7…257bbacked Yes79c73.68$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes25c66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3727653.6%148 W · 128 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes19c65.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes52c62.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9127850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.