Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe423427c7291a0010aa843177a7cd676acc85049fa5f1ecf5678b0947abfaee4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Manchester City FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 146,093$83,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,048 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 62,938$26,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,622.06 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 58,140$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 50,519$29,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,502.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 49,428$28,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,854.7 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 22,956$9,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 22,574$12,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,627.51 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manchester City FC | 46c | 22,315$10,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,168.78 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 51c | 20,824$10,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,203.61 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 18,793$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 17,900$7,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,697 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 14,153$6,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,085.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 13,620$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.41 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 12,654$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,441.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Nottingham Forest FC | 55c | 11,507$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.45 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Nottingham Forest FC | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 9,892$4,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,245.47 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 9,388$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960.89 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 9,300$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…da86backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 9,197$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 6,433$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.59 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 56c | 5,326$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.55 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Manchester City FC | 41c | 4,630$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.06 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.99 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 3,830$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 3,673$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.36 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 3,312$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.16 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 3,131$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.54 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 2,915$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.28 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 2,706$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…5a55backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 2,321$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…ac40backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 1,538$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 1,420$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 1,311$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester City FC | 15c | 1,247$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 1,219$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…c308backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 1,207$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 1,201$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.43 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Manchester City FC | 15c | 1,182$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.48 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Manchester City FC | 44c | 1,116$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Manchester City FC | 49c | 1,078$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Manchester City FC | 13c | 851.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…13bebacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…0d61backed Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 770$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Manchester City FC | 42c | 750.73$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 737.93$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…c325backed Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 730$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nottingham Forest FC | 54c | 705.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.98 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…94c7backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 698.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 560.12$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.85 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Manchester City FC | 38c | 526.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Nottingham Forest FC | 59c | 499.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 350 | 28.9%101 W · 249 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 421.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 416$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 395.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 390.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 57c | 348.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb931…33efbacked Manchester City FC | 45c | 322.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…f2b3backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 316.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…404abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 56c | 312.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…e0a3backed Manchester City FC | 35c | 310$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 297.73$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 40.3%152 W · 225 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 189 | 28%53 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Manchester City FC | 19c | 273.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…fc46backed Nottingham Forest FC | 56c | 268.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…0e38backed Manchester City FC | 42c | 259.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5100…f8f4backed Manchester City FC | 45c | 258.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Manchester City FC | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 45cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…6c05backed Nottingham Forest FC | 58c | 246.34$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 238.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c8…9349backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Manchester City FC | 43c | 232.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 231.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7864…800bbacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Manchester City FC | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…9c69backed Manchester City FC | 43c | 226.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Manchester City FC | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Manchester City FC | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.