Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a7d842f708bf2ef06143bdf8333b647fa56b5af28739b0516955748bf316a8

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $238,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,895 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under	66c	55,223$36,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,444.93	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over	36c	34,730$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,230.16	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	20,764$7,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,671.4	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	63c	12,530$7,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,938.54	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	34c	7,906$2,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200.1	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	34c	5,142$1,753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,389.62	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	35c	4,926$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,206.82	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	65c	4,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	183	62.3%114 W · 69 L	+17.5wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Over	38c	3,629$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.95	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+114.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under	75c	3,611$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	135	65.2%88 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	64c	3,379$2,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,146.58	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	34c	2,142$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,413.72	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over	35c	2,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	351	34.8%122 W · 229 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	57c	1,931$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.07	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under	63c	1,328$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.61	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	30c	1,250$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.97	150	30.7%46 W · 104 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under	65c	1,244$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.97	114	50.9%58 W · 56 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under	63c	1,170$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737.39	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Under	64c	1,094$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Over	35c	1,043$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.86	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	65c	1,026$667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666.8	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under	62c	969.98$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.39	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-27%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over	37c	810.81$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.81	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over	37c	781.47$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.33	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	37c	742.69$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.37	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	37c	640.63$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.71	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under	72c	637$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.64	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-8.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	37c	621.62$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.62	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over	37c	540.54$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.54	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	66c	514.7$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.6	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over	37c	478.38$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.38	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over	59c	455.86$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.9	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over	36c	450$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.25per pick	44cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Under	64c	450$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	34c	441.18$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.18	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	69c	434.78$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.78	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over	36c	416.67$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.67	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Over	65c	400$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over	38c	363.16$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.16	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over	68c	352.94$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.94	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.22per pick	57cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under	65c	351.52$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	79	58.2%46 W · 33 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under	8c	330$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.9	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	34c	325.34$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.72	232	50.9%118 W · 114 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	67c	300.09$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	62c	299.99$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over	34c	294.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.12	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over	65c	250.58$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.7	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	34c	244$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.96	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over	34c	227.88$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.4	390	52.6%205 W · 185 L	+19.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cfc…cfdabacked Under	64c	202$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a1…75abbacked Under	34c	191.18$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	64c	167.19$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.42	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under	36c	163.89$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under	11c	160$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	34c	156.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.08	207	58%120 W · 87 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	26c	153.85$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.85	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-5.1wins	-0.12per pick	40cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Under	65c	153.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	70cpaid	-48%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over	47c	153.19$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.36	201	43.8%88 W · 113 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under	66c	151.52$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	27.1%16 W · 43 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Under	63c	148.77$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.24	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8715…3dd8backed Over	36c	123$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	35c	120$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.8	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8a…ba8ebacked Over	36c	119$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.16	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over	35c	115.62$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.15	24	75%18 W · 6 L	+6.7wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Under	66c	113.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over	38c	105.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	28c	101.34$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3323…f667backed Over	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	35c	99.66$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.96	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked Under	66c	94.55$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.38	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	13c	94.54$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under	64c	93.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Under	63c	90$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd33f…3e82backed Over	37c	89.19$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x866e…7deabacked Over	36c	82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.48	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under	35c	80.21$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.43	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	-14.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	66c	77.47$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under	65c	76.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	85.7%18 W · 3 L	+3.6wins	+0.17per pick	68cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Under	65c	76.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+63%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Over	37c	74.65$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.03	122	36.1%44 W · 78 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over	36c	74.47$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.66	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	279	48%134 W · 145 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under	59c	69.31$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.78	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	37c	64.49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.63	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over	36c	63.89$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.89	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over	37c	62.16$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.16	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	29c	61.06$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.34	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Under	66c	58$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.28	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under	66c	54.32$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over	44c	51$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.6	165	48.5%80 W · 85 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2512…9030backed Over	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a66…9e92backed Under	64c	49$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event