Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e19edbdad5bb513fedda3259b13406249725bf1989ef2d50b270acaa911687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 2,192$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed No | 48c | 1,193$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.31 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 11c | 908$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 44c | 749.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.79 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 52c | 681.33$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.22 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 47c | 555$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.96 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…4487backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Yes | 50c | 400$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 392.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 52c | 363.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 53c | 349.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 49c | 290$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9669…7884backed Yes | 52c | 276.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Yes | 54c | 255.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…95e3backed No | 48c | 253.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 48c | 244.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 243$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.07 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 46c | 230.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 228.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…7d14backed No | 48c | 199.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 53c | 187.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 186.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…6045backed Yes | 52c | 176.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 52c | 163$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…8da5backed Yes | 47c | 135.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 104.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed No | 58c | 98.7$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…6303backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…af1dbacked No | 49c | 89.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Yes | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked No | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…ae94backed Yes | 46c | 87.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 53c | 86.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 47c | 80.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 54c | 74.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 49c | 72.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 49c | 72.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 53c | 62.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 49.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Yes | 44c | 48.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 47c | 47.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 53c | 47.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 45.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 47c | 43.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Yes | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 49c | 35.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 48c | 33.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…f6ebbacked No | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed No | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa506…f93bbacked No | 52c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf15…7893backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…827abacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…ad68backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.