Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12c9c1ec8b466c9be1c7246def6868e50148e1dbe37b3632d0b596ba557ecf23

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $299,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,176 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under	40c	72,110$29,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,105.98	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over	59c	42,551$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,550.64	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	60c	21,674$12,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,765.59	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5472…5b19backed Under	41c	13,361$5,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,478.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27dd…c66abacked Over	59c	13,000$7,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,330	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under	41c	12,195$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.96	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over	59c	10,274$6,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,210.68	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	60c	9,100$5,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	42c	8,000$3,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,360	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over	56c	4,835$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,134.91	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under	41c	4,702$1,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,928.02	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under	41c	4,562$1,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,870.38	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	41c	3,659$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	60c	2,500$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	41c	2,439$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under	42c	2,060$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.2	192	39.1%75 W · 117 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over	41c	1,888$777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.13	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under	41c	1,668$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.69	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over	58c	1,500$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-7.3wins	-0.11per pick	64cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	60c	1,414$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.93	2,558	47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L	+44.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over	60c	1,342$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.75	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e44…686abacked Over	47c	1,277$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.77	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	42cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	59c	1,224$722 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.84	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f47…63d7backed Under	41c	1,210$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	58c	1,201$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.37	857	48.5%416 W · 441 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	60c	1,191$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.34	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	41c	1,089$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.39	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	45c	1,000$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.92	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	59c	992.52$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.55	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	934.4$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.04	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	46c	801.74$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.04	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under	2c	800$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	162	38.3%62 W · 100 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over	48c	786.49$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.01	150	30.7%46 W · 104 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe810…dae1backed Under	42c	780$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd26c…4472backed Over	60c	760$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over	54c	750$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	135	65.2%88 W · 47 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	46c	747.52$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.78	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd2…d370backed Over	60c	740$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	60c	733.33$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.33	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aea…9173backed Under	42c	720$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	59c	600$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	232	58.2%135 W · 97 L	+13.9wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbdda…2408backed Under	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Under	41c	499.98$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.99	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.6wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5af…5d38backed Over	65c	462.7$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	66cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	58c	462.69$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.33	130	54.6%71 W · 59 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	59c	450.85$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.85	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under	58c	431.12$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	60c	416.67$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.67	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	74c	405.41$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over	59c	400$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over	59c	394$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.54	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	43c	393.33$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.65	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	75c	384.64$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.16	159	66.7%106 W · 53 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	50c	369.47$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.75	1,938	42.5%823 W · 1,115 L	-41.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2b0…3b38backed Under	41c	360.18$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f24…b403backed Under	41c	358.45$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e9bbacked Under	4c	356.34$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81c4…61f4backed Under	41c	348.26$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f1…e8c3backed Over	60c	347.63$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe1…92cdbacked Over	60c	344.56$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9d…9e2fbacked Over	60c	340.77$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.31	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x301a…72a8backed Over	60c	339.99$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x169b…6f9ebacked Over	60c	321.93$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.77	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	60cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e19…ba6cbacked Over	60c	296.37$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…1548backed Under	41c	292.76$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over	61c	270$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.3	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b5…1d8ebacked Under	41c	259.93$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5e…da36backed Over	60c	256.32$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over	60c	251.63$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.17	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.4wins	+0.24per pick	48cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	59c	243.9$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over	60c	229.05$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.62	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	55c	227.81$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.59	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over	45c	220$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45bd…ddc3backed Over	60c	216.9$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.76	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	55c	212.95$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.83	92	38%35 W · 57 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb16…d583backed Over	60c	196.17$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.17	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4f8b…e16abacked Over	75c	192$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over	59c	180.74$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.1	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	59c	180$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.6	559	55.1%308 W · 251 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Over	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	59c	161.02$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.02	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	60c	150$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	42c	142.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	89	53.9%48 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	60c	141.57$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.63	497	53.7%267 W · 230 L	+27.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under	40c	137$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.8	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	42c	130$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.3	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec5…ece4backed Under	41c	130$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Over	59c	128.81$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	64c	125$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event