NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd35b244f3641f5b0b008ddf59beec6521ae6e3e35004537fb25a0f5f7797c6d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Warriors, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,224,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,367,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,224,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Raptors | 38c | 382,059$146,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,217.35 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Warriors | 64c | 171,836$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 37c | 160,724$59,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,398.86 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Warriors | 63c | 158,730$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060e…2384backed Warriors | 61c | 124,921$76,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,462.51 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 62c | 70,281$43,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,574.48 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 61c | 67,555$41,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,208.55 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Raptors | 37c | 49,071$18,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,914.78 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 73c | 43,565$31,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,701.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Warriors | 62c | 41,998$26,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,239.01 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Raptors | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,300 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Warriors | 63c | 29,369$18,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,499.04 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Raptors | 38c | 29,369$11,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,205.34 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Raptors | 46c | 25,782$11,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,003.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.71 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 25c | 22,247$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,682.58 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Raptors | 35c | 20,087$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,001.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 38c | 20,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,349.97 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 60c | 17,143$10,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,285.6 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 52c | 15,965$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,340.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Raptors | 38c | 15,073$5,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,345.45 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Raptors | 38c | 15,060$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,297.11 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Raptors | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,300 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Raptors | 46c | 14,458$6,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.24 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…8250backed Raptors | 72c | 14,399$10,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.43 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Raptors | 53c | 14,080$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.86 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 65c | 14,040$9,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,068.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 61c | 13,451$8,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,205 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Raptors | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820.51 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Raptors | 40c | 12,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Raptors | 38c | 11,256$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,924.74 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 37c | 10,662$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,664.79 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Raptors | 37c | 10,500$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,614.9 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1692…831fbacked Warriors | 68c | 9,723$6,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570.48 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 62c | 9,522$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Raptors | 47c | 8,978$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 61c | 8,847$5,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439.53 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Raptors | 67c | 8,341$5,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Raptors | 31c | 8,054$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.65 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Raptors | 38c | 7,895$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.74 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Raptors | 38c | 7,637$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,734.91 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Raptors | 41c | 7,393$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,393.48 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Warriors | 58c | 7,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.97 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 37c | 6,482$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 28c | 6,150$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8c8dbacked Warriors | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee6…25f7backed Warriors | 62c | 5,800$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raptors | 19c | 5,480$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.94 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 24c | 5,448$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.12 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raptors | 41c | 5,178$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.76 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Raptors | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.21 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Warriors | 62c | 4,701$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.73 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Raptors | 29c | 4,700$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.15 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Raptors | 38c | 4,610$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.66 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Raptors | 43c | 4,507$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.6 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Warriors | 70c | 4,357$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 72c | 4,255$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.5 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Warriors | 60c | 4,018$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.06 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Raptors | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Raptors | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Raptors | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Raptors | 39c | 4,000$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.1 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 59c | 3,935$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.43 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Raptors | 37c | 3,895$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.85 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…26d0backed Warriors | 62c | 3,895$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raptors | 44c | 3,821$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.42 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…aab4backed Raptors | 38c | 3,800$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…3ba3backed Warriors | 61c | 3,750$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf67…eee6backed Raptors | 38c | 3,750$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.06 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…65adbacked Raptors | 21c | 3,704$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 61c | 3,694$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.05 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 38c | 3,600$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Warriors | 70c | 3,534$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.83 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Warriors | 61c | 3,400$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Warriors | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Raptors | 12c | 3,175$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,779.44 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Raptors | 21c | 3,173$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.15 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors | 24c | 3,158$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.95 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Raptors | 39c | 3,082$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.29 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Raptors | 47c | 3,003$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.13 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Raptors | 38c | 3,000$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.88 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Raptors | 28c | 2,960$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.37 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Raptors | 37c | 2,950$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.92 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Raptors | 42c | 2,789$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.49 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 62c | 2,750$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.81 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa046…d2c6backed Raptors | 38c | 2,650$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Raptors | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 60c | 2,554$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.72 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Raptors | 41c | 2,550$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 62c | 2,446$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Warriors | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Warriors | 17c | 2,417$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.