TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,738

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x060e…2384backed Over53c20,000$10,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,453.538037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c8,418$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,980.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under49c2,563$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over49c2,150$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.52864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4db…309dbacked Under51c2,150$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddd9…fe8dbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0711650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc782…70eabacked Under51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf88d…796dbacked Under51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…103dbacked Over49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0e…74c2backed Under51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0711942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf95…3114backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x185c…fa2fbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under47c1,801$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.392,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under50c1,290$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64529652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,162$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under47c745$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.151,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c626.97$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.022,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28221858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Under49c567.61$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.135750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Over57c523.82$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.248339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19628751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15662347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1296656.1%37 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4640952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under48c268.59$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.941,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11036854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under47c157.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.322,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023948.5%116 W · 123 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over52c125.75$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7514742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Over51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.656336.5%23 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2134050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Over50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5112454%67 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5265855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc7…9335backed Over51c94.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.362349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.371747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7237352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over52c86.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5438347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over52c72.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.618347%39 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under47c72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8434254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under47c57.33$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9493849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x474b…c5b1backed Over52c56.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.289050%45 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under47c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3887647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.553951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a81…b783backed Over52c48.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.444032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1520456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1414751%75 W · 72 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011143.2%48 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7e…1505backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2235844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…0951backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9231250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9223850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9227353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9231551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9227150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b7…73e5backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…6c7ebacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Over52c28.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.648744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Over51c25.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4919543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Under47c25.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.752,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under47c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.288755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under48c21.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.431,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over50c20.8$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d6…c02abacked Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.