NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39310dbdbc542eda4650a85fb8121fad8235485a4c46766fbf8d8551f2b23936
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,052,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,614,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,052,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 22c | 356,434$79,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,230.34 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 23c | 250,000$57,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,499.98 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Warriors | 25c | 217,366$54,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,240.99 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Thunder | 78c | 167,330$130,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,818.77 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Warriors | 17c | 144,721$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Thunder | 74c | 142,545$105,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,276.67 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 16c | 117,468$18,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,265.76 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 75c | 98,543$74,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,378.87 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 15c | 98,403$14,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,606.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Warriors | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 3c | 75,111$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.21 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Thunder | 79c | 69,348$55,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,285.14 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Thunder | 75c | 59,028$44,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,951.44 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Warriors | 8c | 50,855$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Thunder | 80c | 46,300$36,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,369.98 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 16c | 45,000$7,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,128 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Thunder | 79c | 43,429$34,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,941.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Thunder | 77c | 38,344$29,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,707.48 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Thunder | 75c | 36,658$27,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,164.5 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Warriors | 15c | 30,975$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.32 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Warriors | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Warriors | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed Warriors | 25c | 27,141$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.25 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 22c | 27,139$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.6 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Warriors | 15c | 25,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Thunder | 79c | 21,402$16,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.72 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 8c | 19,372$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 9c | 18,441$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.79 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Thunder | 78c | 18,243$14,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Warriors | 7c | 17,822$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.1 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 77c | 16,159$12,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.73 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Thunder | 75c | 16,068$12,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 16,003$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 23c | 15,188$3,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.11 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Thunder | 75c | 14,175$10,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.75 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 74c | 14,125$10,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,606.93 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Thunder | 77c | 13,966$10,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.72 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Thunder | 77c | 13,963$10,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.06 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 16c | 13,550$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…166cbacked Thunder | 78c | 12,828$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.16 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Warriors | 6c | 12,635$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.09 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Warriors | 9c | 12,408$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Warriors | 12c | 11,953$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.5 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Warriors | 15c | 10,548$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Warriors | 1c | 9,764$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Warriors | 21c | 9,488$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.45 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Warriors | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 21c | 8,500$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Warriors | 19c | 8,389$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.67 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Warriors | 24c | 8,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 0c | 8,206$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Thunder | 75c | 8,000$6,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 22c | 8,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.93 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 3c | 7,843$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Warriors | 26c | 7,692$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 76c | 7,500$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 22c | 7,369$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.07 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Warriors | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…db61backed Warriors | 8c | 6,976$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Warriors | 22c | 6,760$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.82 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder | 75c | 6,045$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.24 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 23c | 6,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Warriors | 17c | 5,663$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.67 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Thunder | 74c | 5,436$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.45 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 74c | 5,090$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.4 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…a84abacked Warriors | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 21c | 4,911$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.7 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Thunder | 75c | 4,800$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Thunder | 77c | 4,606$3,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.6 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Thunder | 76c | 4,456$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.43 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Warriors | 11c | 4,365$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.79 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 24c | 4,173$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Warriors | 26c | 4,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Warriors | 15c | 3,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Warriors | 15c | 3,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked Warriors | 15c | 3,552$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Warriors | 22c | 3,548$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.78 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Warriors | 9c | 3,542$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 183 | 32.2%59 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 1c | 3,486$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Warriors | 26c | 3,476$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.92 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Warriors | 8c | 3,325$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Warriors | 12c | 3,250$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.45 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Warriors | 23c | 3,234$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.28 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Thunder | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Thunder | 80c | 3,181$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.82 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Warriors | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…9838backed Warriors | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Thunder | 77c | 3,069$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.55 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 74c | 3,013$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.46 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Thunder | 78c | 2,982$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.11 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Thunder | 75c | 2,905$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.25 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Warriors | 20c | 2,878$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.02 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Warriors | 23c | 2,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Warriors | 22c | 2,800$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1147…da78backed Thunder | 76c | 2,630$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 19c | 2,543$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Warriors | 30c | 2,538$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.