Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43b70f38ce0b6b774232be3e54dc54e30aa1f8a53f658b2b4b4fc391a3ef4481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 42c | 6,769$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.41 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 6,331$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.19 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 58c | 1,853$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.79 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 33c | 1,649$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,308$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 989.25$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.49 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 887.44$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.12 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 59c | 542.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 40c | 540$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 60c | 503.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked No | 59c | 338.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 35c | 310.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 43c | 304.88$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 59c | 289.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 37c | 277.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 59c | 257.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yes | 16c | 245.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 36c | 241.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 228.38$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 33c | 220.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 34c | 201.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 39c | 158.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 38c | 132.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 123.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 42c | 117.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…b75cbacked Yes | 42c | 111.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 20c | 99.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 42c | 98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…f57abacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 41c | 93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 64.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 43c | 57.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…1facbacked Yes | 37c | 54.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…f91dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…b7f6backed Yes | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 42c | 50.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Yes | 42c | 49.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed Yes | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…8507backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 45.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed No | 60c | 44.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 42c | 38.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…d2edbacked Yes | 42c | 37.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 70c | 35.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 29.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -10.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 39c | 26.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.