TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AS Romaof AS Roma, Cagliari Calcio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x198f…c419backed Cagliari Calcio51c10,064$5,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,148.98354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed AS Roma39c7,692$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,691.911650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cagliari Calcio61c3,156$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9259350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed AS Roma55c1,864$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.012,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cagliari Calcio62c1,710$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed AS Roma38c1,462$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.722552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked AS Roma62c1,434$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.071,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Cagliari Calcio63c1,307$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Cagliari Calcio9c1,238$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.966924.6%17 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked AS Roma39c1,100$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6712040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed AS Roma37c978.54$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.3396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cagliari Calcio14c940.82$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e1…cdaabacked AS Roma38c776.32$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Cagliari Calcio62c699.98$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed AS Roma49c598$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4218858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x62ee…de41backed Cagliari Calcio63c580$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf91…7688backed AS Roma38c550$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e60…30eebacked Cagliari Calcio63c539.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d9…f800backed AS Roma38c530$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked AS Roma38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3220544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9494…85a2backed Cagliari Calcio63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed AS Roma56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2202544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed AS Roma46c460.29$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.232040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed AS Roma40c442.01$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.213250%16 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Cagliari Calcio61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked AS Roma41c346.17$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.248744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed AS Roma38c328.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9511429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Cagliari Calcio63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cagliari Calcio62c241.93$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc20…c5dbbacked Cagliari Calcio63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed AS Roma53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.682646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Roma48c180.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked AS Roma39c175.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2617538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed AS Roma49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2719353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Cagliari Calcio62c142$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed AS Roma38c132$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8427226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked AS Roma38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked AS Roma39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.213243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked AS Roma37c120$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed AS Roma52c110.37$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed AS Roma38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.263647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Cagliari Calcio62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed AS Roma38c90$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.81275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed AS Roma44c84.82$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.825131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Cagliari Calcio63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed AS Roma38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9511955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed AS Roma54c69.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.991675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b83…615fbacked Cagliari Calcio44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked AS Roma38c57.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2712744.1%56 W · 71 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed AS Roma45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed AS Roma38c49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.382454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f7b…39ddbacked AS Roma39c47.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a84…7101backed AS Roma39c46.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Cagliari Calcio63c44.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811337.2%42 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed AS Roma46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Cagliari Calcio63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Cagliari Calcio63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa7b…d474backed AS Roma38c34.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9840…4530backed AS Roma38c33.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b28…abdebacked AS Roma38c32.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5100…f8f4backed AS Roma38c31.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9375…24d5backed Cagliari Calcio63c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a30…0061backed Cagliari Calcio63c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea7…ba70backed Cagliari Calcio63c31.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Cagliari Calcio64c31.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209851%50 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6df…0814backed Cagliari Calcio63c31.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20bc…3533backed Cagliari Calcio63c30.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6109…8607backed Cagliari Calcio63c28.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b7…5383backed Cagliari Calcio63c27.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f6…c127backed AS Roma38c27.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed AS Roma55c27.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2136852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4119…96f0backed Cagliari Calcio63c27.16$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc9d…ad44backed AS Roma38c26.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcd…29dcbacked AS Roma38c26.78$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf7b…1659backed AS Roma38c26.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e4…b7b5backed Cagliari Calcio64c23.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…7935backed Cagliari Calcio63c21.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9be…7517backed Cagliari Calcio62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Cagliari Calcio63c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342030%6 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Cagliari Calcio62c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick61cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc12…05f2backed Cagliari Calcio62c16.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.